{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c8f258c-b567-4ea4-ab4f-9975c8e47f55", "symbol": "600691", "name": "Yangmei Chemical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.867, "architecture_energy": 52.621, "architecture_maturity": 78.879, "architecture_confidence": 68.693, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.46, "rotation_up": 27.64, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 66.5, "rotation_down": 45.06, "downward_expansion": 72.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.384, 2.369455, 2.561619, 2.771613 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.45, "trend_reference": 2.981667, "distance_from_trend": -0.178312, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.583462, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.05166, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.727997, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.23676, "excess_performance": -0.193556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.178312, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063056, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.05166, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249415, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.15728, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164749, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.23676, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.570087, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 114626117, "relative_activity": 0.530491, "balance": 0.570087, "dry_up": 0.734346, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077865, "annualized_volatility": 0.544337, "from_high_reference": -0.49692, "from_low_reference": 0.14486 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.981667, "fair_value_reference": 2.583462, "structural_low": 2.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.004571, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009793, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.260563, "worst_return": -0.204651, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.002915, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.027647, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.610063, "worst_return": -0.340249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.022944, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.019232, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.481865, "worst_return": -0.340249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-77.254968, "energy": 90.812113, "activity_lines": [ 2.322, 2.473636, 2.787381, 2.938495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.28, "volume": 184010009, "typical_volume": 338112681.3, "trend": 3.025, "fair_value": 2.600256, "relative_strength": -18.417208, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.86125, "energy": 87.418335, "activity_lines": [ 2.287333, 2.411455, 2.713048, 2.889247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.3, "volume": 189564506, "typical_volume": 309649561.65, "trend": 3.006333, "fair_value": 2.594615, "relative_strength": -18.573281, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.390467, "energy": 84.569214, "activity_lines": [ 2.284, 2.368909, 2.645714, 2.842473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.45, "volume": 146496236, "typical_volume": 290053677.5, "trend": 2.992, "fair_value": 2.589167, "relative_strength": -13.50134, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.657216, "energy": 62.607196, "activity_lines": [ 2.339333, 2.366, 2.598952, 2.806581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.45, "volume": 114626117, "typical_volume": 216075568.1, "trend": 2.981667, "fair_value": 2.583462, "relative_strength": -15.727997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.866894, "energy": 52.620616, "activity_lines": [ 2.384, 2.369455, 2.561619, 2.771613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }