{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ca2cdf0-b9bb-43f0-bd7f-abd48480a48a", "symbol": "AIROLAM", "name": "Airo Lam Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.307, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 4.781, "architecture_energy": 6.534, "architecture_maturity": 18.901, "architecture_confidence": 49.612, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.51, "rotation_up": 26.56, "upward_expansion": 27.12, "deceleration": 65.02, "rotation_down": 37.2, "downward_expansion": 27.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 87.919998, 88.725999, 87.302143, 87.264538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 89.269997, "trend_reference": 87.97, "distance_from_trend": 0.014778, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 115.959231, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.23016, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.653052, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.053441, "excess_performance": -0.009732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014778, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052895, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.23016, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009929, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056531, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032456, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.053441, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.156971, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8801, "relative_activity": 0.783286, "balance": 1.156971, "dry_up": 0.984358, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061326, "annualized_volatility": 0.273846, "from_high_reference": -0.28584, "from_low_reference": 0.125725 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 87.97, "fair_value_reference": 115.959231, "structural_low": 79.300003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.019753, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.277778, "median_excess_return": -0.028628, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.708101, "worst_return": -0.185617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.070404, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.028527, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.125287, "worst_return": -0.231482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.124074, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.103168, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.096798, "worst_return": -0.225178, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Developing", "return": -0.068873, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.100454, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.067374, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.035598, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.037661, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 113.900002, "volume": 83700, "typical_volume": 276813.55, "trend": 81.808333, "fair_value": 60.6125, "relative_strength": 24.831933, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", 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116.510321, "relative_strength": -4.298484, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.360241, "energy": 34.567027, "activity_lines": [ 91.019334, 88.727819, 87.110906, 87.600861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 85.879997, "volume": 12480, "typical_volume": 15013.05, "trend": 88.793667, "fair_value": 116.481026, "relative_strength": -6.939291, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.494567, "energy": 13.466194, "activity_lines": [ 89.344667, 88.550364, 87.049667, 87.379893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.029999, "volume": 5129, "typical_volume": 11755.45, "trend": 88.294334, "fair_value": 116.206218, "relative_strength": -8.715382, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.267423, "energy": 8.2824, "activity_lines": [ 87.770666, 88.373091, 87.020096, 87.201592 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 89.269997, "volume": 8801, "typical_volume": 11236.0, "trend": 87.97, "fair_value": 115.959231, "relative_strength": -5.653052, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.781334, "energy": 6.534096, "activity_lines": [ 87.919998, 88.725999, 87.302143, 87.264538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }