{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cb40c68-2096-46c6-a19e-7127313d9783", "symbol": "BAIN", "name": "Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme des Bains de Mer et du Cercle des \u00c9trangers \u00e0 Monaco", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.114, "architecture_energy": 45.537, "architecture_maturity": 28.447, "architecture_confidence": 92.648, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.13, "rotation_up": 54.26, "upward_expansion": 80.59, "deceleration": 52.97, "rotation_down": 20.24, "downward_expansion": 7.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 139.066667, 138.272727, 136.469048, 135.050538 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 138.0, "trend_reference": 133.133333, "distance_from_trend": 0.036555, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 108.487902, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.272031, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.710831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.045455, "excess_performance": -0.007857, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036555, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085179, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.272031, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05186, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.057108, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045455, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.339924, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 929, "relative_activity": 0.534492, "balance": 2.339924, "dry_up": 1.117456, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032887, "annualized_volatility": 0.140371, "from_high_reference": -0.014286, "from_low_reference": 0.393939 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 133.133333, "fair_value_reference": 108.487902, "structural_low": 120.0, 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124.933333, "fair_value": 106.793695, "relative_strength": 14.846775, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.030327, "energy": 51.151174, "activity_lines": [ 136.2, 134.372727, 132.783333, 130.251613 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 135.0, "volume": 1659, "typical_volume": 1907.75, "trend": 125.9, "fair_value": 106.991655, "relative_strength": 10.200524, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.087782, "energy": 37.779667, "activity_lines": [ 135.933333, 134.745455, 133.052381, 130.901075 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 137.0, "volume": 196, "typical_volume": 1756.1, "trend": 126.933333, "fair_value": 107.214738, "relative_strength": 11.84921, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.846256, "energy": 36.400949, "activity_lines": [ 136.333333, 135.390909, 133.495238, 131.617204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 135.5, "volume": 120, "typical_volume": 1660.05, "trend": 128.0, "fair_value": 107.418979, "relative_strength": 8.628286, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.348011, "energy": 35.74663, "activity_lines": [ 136.1, 135.618182, 133.771429, 132.169892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 139.0, "volume": 2101, "typical_volume": 1626.1, "trend": 129.116667, "fair_value": 107.627201, "relative_strength": 13.131877, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.880531, "energy": 38.333905, "activity_lines": [ 137.133333, 136.390909, 134.364286, 132.87957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 138.5, "volume": 1929, "typical_volume": 1685.15, "trend": 130.2, "fair_value": 107.841446, "relative_strength": 12.210382, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.753297, "energy": 43.337999, "activity_lines": [ 137.6, 136.945455, 134.883333, 133.484946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 140.0, "volume": 3625, "typical_volume": 1801.3, "trend": 131.266667, "fair_value": 108.049927, "relative_strength": 12.446573, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.744049, "energy": 52.772772, "activity_lines": [ 138.6, 137.6, 135.514286, 134.117204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 140.0, "volume": 1286, "typical_volume": 1784.2, "trend": 132.266667, "fair_value": 108.283014, "relative_strength": 10.19159, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.145589, "energy": 58.299747, "activity_lines": [ 139.266667, 138.163636, 136.107143, 134.680645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 138.0, "volume": 929, "typical_volume": 1738.1, "trend": 133.133333, "fair_value": 108.487902, "relative_strength": 5.710831, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.113847, "energy": 45.53664, "activity_lines": [ 139.066667, 138.272727, 136.469048, 135.050538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }