{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cb5a12c-939a-4755-ac9c-97cd3218c0d1", "symbol": "VID", "name": "Videndum Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.62, "architecture_energy": 68.652, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 61.0, "rotation_down": 56.88, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.738667, 3.229182, 104.589786, 345.942484 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.3, "trend_reference": 828.618, "distance_from_trend": -0.997224, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34915.759872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.999934, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.94827, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.99908, "excess_performance": -1.065359, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.997224, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.711998, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.999934, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008777, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.999483, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043768, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.99908, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.431345, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 878047, "relative_activity": 5.851967, "balance": 0.431345, "dry_up": 3.525547, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 16.246856, "annualized_volatility": 6.694134, "from_high_reference": -0.999896, "from_low_reference": 0.069767 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 828.618, "fair_value_reference": 34915.759872, "structural_low": 2.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.055556, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.644444, "median_excess_return": -0.063822, "regime_survival": 0.911111, "best_return": 0.255396, "worst_return": -0.990995, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.222018, "positive_rate": 0.153846, "directional_follow_through": 0.846154, "median_excess_return": -0.250382, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.621622, "worst_return": -0.998373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.472973, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.471206, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": -0.019817, "worst_return": -0.950641, "sufficient": true }, { 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45.773182, 183.310357, 544.921666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.4, "volume": 708077, "typical_volume": 90330.3, "trend": 994.791333, "fair_value": 36397.780385, "relative_strength": -99.95552, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.988515, "energy": 68.794813, "activity_lines": [ 3.560667, 24.399727, 149.008738, 467.998354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.5, "volume": 522019, "typical_volume": 110492.8, "trend": 901.874666, "fair_value": 35628.565641, "relative_strength": -99.949105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.719423, "energy": 68.697063, "activity_lines": [ 3.128, 10.219, 125.752833, 403.979559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.3, "volume": 878047, "typical_volume": 150043.05, "trend": 828.618, "fair_value": 34915.759872, "relative_strength": -99.94827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.619828, "energy": 68.652417, "activity_lines": [ 2.738667, 3.229182, 104.589786, 345.942484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }