{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cbc6009-51bc-4c7b-b48e-6c17ecbedbdb", "symbol": "325010", "name": "Samsung Kodex Fn Growth Etf", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 63.587, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -10.528, "architecture_energy": 29.868, "architecture_maturity": 59.916, "architecture_confidence": 82.423, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.57, "rotation_up": 14.05, "upward_expansion": 43.3, "deceleration": 87.67, "rotation_down": 53.7, "downward_expansion": 39.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 41175.675521, 45216.609375, 46553.966416, 44168.928583 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39090.0, "trend_reference": 40495.360547, "distance_from_trend": -0.034704, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20479.024758, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.908782, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.242577, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.30829, "excess_performance": 0.078462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.034704, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.250987, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.908782, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.751833, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.052426, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041187, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.30829, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.738813, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 105463, "relative_activity": 0.543674, "balance": 0.738813, "dry_up": 1.39803, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.156417, "annualized_volatility": 0.500753, "from_high_reference": -0.353884, "from_low_reference": 1.314935 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40495.360547, "fair_value_reference": 20479.024758, "structural_low": 29439.447684, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.045381, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.006377, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.345085, "worst_return": 0.004559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.074287, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.030443, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.360555, "worst_return": -0.077499, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.027428, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.003501, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.027847, "worst_return": 0.02701, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 5.005387, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.547517, "energy": 23.53709, "activity_lines": [ 43155.921875, 47120.107955, 47068.118452, 44233.92684 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39090.0, "volume": 105463, "typical_volume": 193981.95, "trend": 40495.360547, "fair_value": 20479.024758, "relative_strength": 5.242577, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -10.527533, "energy": 29.867602, "activity_lines": [ 41175.675521, 45216.609375, 46553.966416, 44168.928583 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }