{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cc4fe09-86e9-4da5-9a35-f7676b931cc0", "symbol": "K1SS34", "name": "Kohl's Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 52.17, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.172, "architecture_energy": 70.209, "architecture_maturity": 34.69, "architecture_confidence": 73.434, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.73, "rotation_up": 78.62, "upward_expansion": 87.23, "deceleration": 54.23, "rotation_down": 11.97, "downward_expansion": 11.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.432001, 92.758394, 85.406413, 82.839691 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 101.620003, "trend_reference": 82.717231, "distance_from_trend": 0.228523, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 90.507445, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.122781, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.163565, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.073302, "excess_performance": 0.130351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.228523, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076246, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.122781, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.349313, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.101636, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.340313, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.073302, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.637655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 176, "relative_activity": 0.544218, "balance": 4.637655, "dry_up": 2.399505, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058429, "annualized_volatility": 0.565114, "from_high_reference": -0.227058, "from_low_reference": 0.728179 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.717231, "fair_value_reference": 90.507445, "structural_low": 58.801796, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.063303, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.088052, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.262166, "worst_return": -0.242821, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.053269, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.007646, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.241403, "worst_return": -0.164263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.064511, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.069814, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.368627, "worst_return": -0.394201, "sufficient": false }, { 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false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.019525, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.538727, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.098107, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.015695, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": 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"close": 85.120003, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 1535.6, "trend": 84.394141, "fair_value": 90.962655, "relative_strength": -7.521892, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.386023, "energy": 66.033822, "activity_lines": [ 89.198665, 85.63665, 79.847297, 80.294742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 93.800003, "volume": 357, "typical_volume": 1085.8, "trend": 83.616385, "fair_value": 90.809689, "relative_strength": 1.669132, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.045276, "energy": 53.850261, "activity_lines": [ 90.501334, 88.061298, 81.497627, 80.901572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 95.099998, "volume": 2561, "typical_volume": 326.15, "trend": 83.062777, "fair_value": 90.625211, "relative_strength": 0.463434, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 50.21248, "energy": 51.90789, "activity_lines": [ 92.005333, 90.098999, 83.198842, 81.64245 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 101.620003, "volume": 176, "typical_volume": 323.4, "trend": 82.717231, "fair_value": 90.507445, "relative_strength": 10.163565, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.171549, "energy": 70.208764, "activity_lines": [ 95.432001, 92.758394, 85.406413, 82.839691 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }