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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.268, "architecture_energy": 71.076, "architecture_maturity": 64.116, "architecture_confidence": 65.361, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.69, "rotation_up": 84.25, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 54.8, "rotation_down": 9.52, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 228.346663, 220.699997, 206.778442, 198.851596 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 231.5, "trend_reference": 188.781078, "distance_from_trend": 0.226288, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 161.513748, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.433315, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.877625, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.314131, "excess_performance": 0.139884, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.226288, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068248, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.433315, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.250839, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.038776, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16143, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.314131, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04259, "annualized_volatility": 0.185353, "from_high_reference": -0.046933, "from_low_reference": 0.452632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 188.781078, "fair_value_reference": 161.513748, "structural_low": 165.936171, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.346054, "energy": 54.627281, "activity_lines": [ 187.016242, 185.097719, 182.337053, 179.841404 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 192.699997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.65, "trend": 177.99323, "fair_value": 155.694214, "relative_strength": -12.709255, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.703298, "energy": 70.085817, "activity_lines": [ 189.221392, 186.742484, 183.592812, 180.810619 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 207.899994, "volume": 45, "typical_volume": 10.95, "trend": 178.865085, "fair_value": 156.431086, "relative_strength": -3.800946, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.226136, "energy": 92.349336, "activity_lines": [ 196.071331, 190.890345, 186.157922, 182.740087 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 217.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.95, "trend": 180.35993, "fair_value": 157.232476, "relative_strength": -1.577409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.002736, "energy": 97.370808, "activity_lines": [ 204.586665, 196.308204, 189.486186, 185.232662 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 218.899994, "volume": 177, "typical_volume": 19.65, "trend": 181.847102, "fair_value": 158.093485, "relative_strength": 0.42526, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.973987, "energy": 96.459787, "activity_lines": [ 210.96333, 201.349581, 192.728353, 187.719118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 218.399994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.65, "trend": 183.35548, "fair_value": 158.897665, "relative_strength": 2.200744, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.971819, "energy": 92.283892, "activity_lines": [ 215.239995, 205.651699, 195.696097, 190.077369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 228.399994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.25, "trend": 185.116504, "fair_value": 159.748073, "relative_strength": 5.391225, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.733026, "energy": 95.160743, "activity_lines": [ 221.013328, 211.073103, 199.421677, 192.983467 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 231.699997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.95, "trend": 187.127496, "fair_value": 160.631552, "relative_strength": 6.996076, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.284663, "energy": 88.469965, "activity_lines": [ 225.506662, 216.33036, 203.230168, 195.988854 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 231.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.85, "trend": 188.781078, "fair_value": 161.513748, "relative_strength": 3.877625, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.268082, "energy": 71.075706, "activity_lines": [ 228.346663, 220.699997, 206.778442, 198.851596 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }