{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cd50fe8-e1a5-411d-8212-eb3df9236ee3", "symbol": "ATRY", "name": "Atrys Health, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.012, "architecture_energy": 34.382, "architecture_maturity": 56.06, "architecture_confidence": 61.242, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.33, "rotation_up": 23.06, "upward_expansion": 15.46, "deceleration": 66.09, "rotation_down": 43.99, "downward_expansion": 65.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.558667, 2.552636, 2.633, 2.69329 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.645, "trend_reference": 2.780667, "distance_from_trend": -0.048789, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.200064, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.173454, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.552809, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.10034, "excess_performance": -0.224771, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048789, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027569, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.173454, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022946, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.205528, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054818, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.10034, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.681373, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120534, "relative_activity": 0.50743, "balance": 0.681373, "dry_up": 0.957085, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058456, "annualized_volatility": 0.225663, "from_high_reference": -0.263231, "from_low_reference": 0.145022 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.780667, "fair_value_reference": 3.200064, "structural_low": 2.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.034056, "positive_rate": 0.30303, "directional_follow_through": 0.69697, "median_excess_return": -0.047568, "regime_survival": 0.878788, "best_return": 0.365517, "worst_return": -0.18018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.029422, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.098749, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.254902, "worst_return": -0.222892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.092715, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.272454, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.107843, "worst_return": -0.319101, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.613066, "energy": 73.871773, "activity_lines": [ 2.602667, 2.666727, 2.738762, 2.788968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.475, "volume": 377297, "typical_volume": 233886.5, "trend": 2.828667, "fair_value": 3.262051, "relative_strength": -25.243493, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.602322, "energy": 79.916945, "activity_lines": [ 2.548333, 2.624727, 2.70869, 2.765624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.37, "volume": 452571, "typical_volume": 246308.6, "trend": 2.813, "fair_value": 3.245449, "relative_strength": -27.053185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.715831, "energy": 88.141042, "activity_lines": [ 2.478333, 2.569909, 2.671452, 2.736032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.48, "volume": 163190, "typical_volume": 238727.0, "trend": 2.804667, "fair_value": 3.229679, "relative_strength": -24.386476, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.392428, "energy": 77.335147, "activity_lines": [ 2.464333, 2.541636, 2.6475, 2.714548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.625, "volume": 173083, "typical_volume": 238561.35, "trend": 2.794833, "fair_value": 3.214776, "relative_strength": -20.124632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.109887, "energy": 50.171159, "activity_lines": [ 2.509667, 2.543636, 2.638929, 2.702957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.645, "volume": 120534, "typical_volume": 237538.35, "trend": 2.780667, "fair_value": 3.200064, "relative_strength": -20.552809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.01206, "energy": 34.38158, "activity_lines": [ 2.558667, 2.552636, 2.633, 2.69329 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }