{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cd7da7c-3ac3-47e9-91ef-b852fa0ab179", "symbol": "000651", "name": "Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.515, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.063, "architecture_energy": 70.03, "architecture_maturity": 4.923, "architecture_confidence": 72.004, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.52, "rotation_up": 70.27, "upward_expansion": 86.36, "deceleration": 47.82, "rotation_down": 8.38, "downward_expansion": 15.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.615332, 39.635272, 39.150476, 38.875427 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 40.099998, "trend_reference": 38.68671, "distance_from_trend": 0.036532, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.297437, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.782305, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.036176, "excess_performance": 0.028776, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036532, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004044, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.075141, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01668, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017823, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188381, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.036176, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.584589, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 276129322, "relative_activity": 1.581963, "balance": 1.584589, "dry_up": 1.601588, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039171, "annualized_volatility": 0.201898, "from_high_reference": -0.112242, "from_low_reference": 0.095628 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.68671, "fair_value_reference": 37.297437, "structural_low": 36.599998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.015035, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.021766, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.132006, "worst_return": -0.151146, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.005053, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.004554, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.152638, "worst_return": -0.112464, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.071894, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.051041, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.100918, "worst_return": -0.06943, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -51.146512, "energy": 36.05695, "activity_lines": [ 37.840001, 38.136727, 38.277333, 38.329581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.950001, "volume": 266529123, "typical_volume": 159552795.65, "trend": 38.562394, "fair_value": 37.103147, "relative_strength": 0.098667, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.24131, "energy": 9.451851, "activity_lines": [ 38.566667, 38.392909, 38.444572, 38.419529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.459999, "volume": 285469865, "typical_volume": 164587557.2, "trend": 38.573298, "fair_value": 37.166201, "relative_strength": 1.657219, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.068657, "energy": 30.191539, "activity_lines": [ 39.368667, 38.741091, 38.648476, 38.541955 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.299999, "volume": 290091213, "typical_volume": 170612099.25, "trend": 38.657891, "fair_value": 37.23965, "relative_strength": 8.389338, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.226953, "energy": 78.644512, "activity_lines": [ 40.534666, 39.420545, 39.013048, 38.782388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.099998, "volume": 276129322, "typical_volume": 174548529.3, "trend": 38.68671, "fair_value": 37.297437, "relative_strength": -1.782305, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.062899, "energy": 70.029744, "activity_lines": [ 40.615332, 39.635272, 39.150476, 38.875427 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }