{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cd876b9-9e1b-4993-9394-e923d51c38a6", "symbol": "DXID", "name": "Dynamic Active Innovation and Disruption ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.773, "architecture_energy": 31.716, "architecture_maturity": 70.729, "architecture_confidence": 90.847, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.99, "rotation_up": 23.77, "upward_expansion": 57.31, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 34.8, "downward_expansion": 20.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.710666, 28.353091, 28.016238, 26.670301 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 28.73, "trend_reference": 25.056333, "distance_from_trend": 0.146616, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.077531, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301323, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.368859, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.32092, "excess_performance": 0.200498, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.146616, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088113, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.301323, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059338, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.063689, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012894, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.32092, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.237668, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2000, "relative_activity": 0.397614, "balance": 1.237668, "dry_up": 1.038767, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053495, "annualized_volatility": 0.302597, "from_high_reference": -0.079462, "from_low_reference": 0.496354 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.056333, "fair_value_reference": 22.077531, "structural_low": 19.200001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.080888, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 20.440001, "volume": 325900, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 20.02, "volume": 20800, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 19.790001, "volume": 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"trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 29.129999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 29.4, "volume": 10600, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.33, "volume": 4200, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.209999, "volume": 8000, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.58, "volume": 6700, "typical_volume": 5480.0, "trend": 24.873, "fair_value": 21.994375, "relative_strength": 1.654753, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.594755, "energy": 32.476367, "activity_lines": [ 27.444, 28.411091, 27.783143, 26.421462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.73, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 5030.0, "trend": 25.056333, "fair_value": 22.077531, "relative_strength": 6.368859, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.772775, "energy": 31.716257, "activity_lines": [ 27.710666, 28.353091, 28.016238, 26.670301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }