{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ce0986b-18ef-4405-8683-6e0006868806", "symbol": "ANET", "name": "Arista Networks, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.446, "architecture_energy": 61.795, "architecture_maturity": 33.342, "architecture_confidence": 89.998, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.84, "rotation_up": 65.62, "upward_expansion": 84.74, "deceleration": 50.42, "rotation_down": 15.29, "downward_expansion": 11.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 3120.933333, 3028.083643, 2904.139101, 2793.668816 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3230.0, "trend_reference": 2654.551326, "distance_from_trend": 0.216778, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1888.391266, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.710451, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.481238, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.361146, "excess_performance": 0.415813, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.216778, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081985, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.710451, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.280069, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.214812, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.283175, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.361146, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 28.388913, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16467, "relative_activity": 1.353565, "balance": 28.388913, "dry_up": 0.477225, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07679, "annualized_volatility": 0.543227, "from_high_reference": -0.11869, "from_low_reference": 0.538095 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2654.551326, "fair_value_reference": 1888.391266, "structural_low": 2100.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.013643, "positive_rate": 0.59375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": 0.023954, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.268516, "worst_return": -0.197317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.000398, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.042649, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.386938, "worst_return": -0.244891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.184022, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.105569, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.464676, "worst_return": -0.340134, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3000.0, "volume": 1001, "typical_volume": 11672.25, "trend": 2596.751326, "fair_value": 1857.645849, "relative_strength": 14.426953, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.119468, "energy": 57.334786, "activity_lines": [ 2991.970671, 2922.261466, 2819.275386, 2720.621675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3120.0, "volume": 348, "typical_volume": 11352.55, "trend": 2621.017993, "fair_value": 1872.665993, "relative_strength": 17.564662, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.333695, "energy": 66.677603, "activity_lines": [ 3050.485335, 2969.440736, 2858.192577, 2754.379654 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3230.0, "volume": 16467, "typical_volume": 12165.65, "trend": 2654.551326, "fair_value": 1888.391266, "relative_strength": 21.481238, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.445773, "energy": 61.794667, "activity_lines": [ 3120.933333, 3028.083643, 2904.139101, 2793.668816 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }