{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7ce68a36-5371-4a35-b82d-1e7439d60ddf",
    "symbol": "ZEO",
    "name": "BMO Equal Weight Oil & Gas Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.826,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.959,
    "architecture_energy": 58.939,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.744,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.138,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.63,
        "rotation_up": 66.17,
        "upward_expansion": 84.55,
        "deceleration": 48.14,
        "rotation_down": 12.74,
        "downward_expansion": 11.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        108.353333,
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        105.822943,
        104.019402
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 104.949997,
    "trend_reference": 100.25809,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046798,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 75.017135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.399014,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.808144,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.194395,
    "excess_performance": 0.073974,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046798,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093739,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.399014,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050256,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028081,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073404,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.194395,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.760904,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 126700,
      "relative_activity": 0.876938,
      "balance": 1.760904,
      "dry_up": 0.936116,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043049,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.256922,
      "from_high_reference": -0.071485,
      "from_low_reference": 0.430768
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 100.25809,
      "fair_value_reference": 75.017135,
      "structural_low": 87.451834,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
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        "positive_rate": 0.578947,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.578947,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008472,
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        "best_return": 0.131614,
        "worst_return": -0.138404,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.096383,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.031893,
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 73.667556,
        "relative_strength": 6.637476,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 175185.0,
        "trend": 97.246865,
        "fair_value": 74.009641,
        "relative_strength": 10.559763,
        "stage": 2,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 112.099998,
        "volume": 117500,
        "typical_volume": 158380.0,
        "trend": 98.338715,
        "fair_value": 74.369877,
        "relative_strength": 13.455556,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.390293,
        "energy": 52.070841,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 110.660004,
        "volume": 170400,
        "typical_volume": 150835.0,
        "trend": 99.345592,
        "fair_value": 74.716739,
        "relative_strength": 12.135816,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.846917,
        "energy": 69.062943,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.192001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 104.949997,
        "volume": 126700,
        "typical_volume": 144480.0,
        "trend": 100.25809,
        "fair_value": 75.017135,
        "relative_strength": 2.808144,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.958659,
        "energy": 58.939034,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}