{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7ce6bf5e-b605-4253-a617-7c8728b84e90",
    "symbol": "MRR",
    "name": "MinRex Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.521,
    "architecture_energy": 35.422,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.829,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.659,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.93,
        "rotation_up": 21.17,
        "upward_expansion": 3.67,
        "deceleration": 49.17,
        "rotation_down": 45.06,
        "downward_expansion": 72.34
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.015233,
        0.015418,
        0.015952,
        0.016632
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.014,
    "trend_reference": 0.017767,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.212008,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.012288,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13928,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.416981,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.263158,
    "excess_performance": -0.326864,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.212008,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056492,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13928,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.496797,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11417,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.619984,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.263158,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.274616,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6092582,
      "relative_activity": 1.408621,
      "balance": 0.274616,
      "dry_up": 0.832753,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.148352,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.70698,
      "from_high_reference": -0.44,
      "from_low_reference": 0.75
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.017767,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.012288,
      "structural_low": 0.013,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": -0.052632,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.515152,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045266,
        "regime_survival": 0.848485,
        "best_return": 0.638889,
        "worst_return": -0.4,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.111111,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.136493,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 2.666667,
        "worst_return": -0.542857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.097222,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.145913,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 2.473684,
        "worst_return": -0.526316,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.279412,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.35659,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.894737,
        "worst_return": -0.527778,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
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        "return": -0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 4842455.1,
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        "relative_strength": 5.232169,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": -39.114207,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.016,
        "volume": 981540,
        "typical_volume": 4664278.05,
        "trend": 0.017833,
        "fair_value": 0.012288,
        "relative_strength": 5.187057,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.94833,
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.015933,
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          0.01619,
          0.01688
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.014,
        "volume": 6092582,
        "typical_volume": 4325210.8,
        "trend": 0.017767,
        "fair_value": 0.012288,
        "relative_strength": -11.416981,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.521185,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}