{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7cea2471-0c31-4ac5-a1d4-dc461e0e4a1c",
    "symbol": "LLD",
    "name": "Lloyds Banking Group plc",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.076,
    "architecture_energy": 77.506,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.438,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.847,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.08,
        "rotation_up": 76.28,
        "upward_expansion": 94.92,
        "deceleration": 43.03,
        "rotation_down": 14.7,
        "downward_expansion": 16.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.327127,
        1.304017,
        1.249369,
        1.216435
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.343,
    "trend_reference": 1.187996,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.130475,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.788912,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.702344,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.886605,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.096971,
    "excess_performance": 0.032332,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130475,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059023,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.702344,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11523,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118866,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007625,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096971,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.453943,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1468744,
      "relative_activity": 2.843743,
      "balance": 2.453943,
      "dry_up": 1.687573,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039473,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.28639,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015396,
      "from_low_reference": 0.513482
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.187996,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.788912,
      "structural_low": 1.00391,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.026493,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009337,
        "regime_survival": 0.794118,
        "best_return": 0.224097,
        "worst_return": -0.113925,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.083741,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.081015,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.11999,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.019664,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.142885,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 509025.15,
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        "fair_value": 0.772018,
        "relative_strength": 16.585835,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.322501,
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        "typical_volume": 461181.3,
        "trend": 1.174722,
        "fair_value": 0.777508,
        "relative_strength": 16.881605,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.447874,
        "energy": 88.39278,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.307727,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.332385,
        "volume": 757882,
        "typical_volume": 458151.05,
        "trend": 1.181427,
        "fair_value": 0.783168,
        "relative_strength": 14.596571,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.946739,
        "energy": 81.678569,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.317987,
          1.288498,
          1.234972,
          1.206011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.343,
        "volume": 1468744,
        "typical_volume": 516482.7,
        "trend": 1.187996,
        "fair_value": 0.788912,
        "relative_strength": 11.886605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.076155,
        "energy": 77.505926,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.327127,
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          1.216435
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}