{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7cec39fd-bbda-4298-87d1-7f0852da227f",
    "symbol": "YDEC",
    "name": "FT VEST INTERNATIONAL EQUITY MODERATE BUFFER ETF - DECEMBER",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 48.034,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.715,
    "architecture_energy": 74.001,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.272,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.627,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.26,
        "rotation_up": 70.17,
        "upward_expansion": 90.55,
        "deceleration": 45.09,
        "rotation_down": 17.57,
        "downward_expansion": 14.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.19,
    "trend_reference": 27.08244,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.040896,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 24.392546,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.155681,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.406665,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.043301,
    "excess_performance": -0.082324,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040896,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01905,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155681,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016963,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054067,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011806,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043301,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.297705,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 69196,
      "relative_activity": 1.199025,
      "balance": 1.297705,
      "dry_up": 0.709151,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012737,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.082913,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001208,
      "from_low_reference": 0.116436
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.08244,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.392546,
      "structural_low": 25.695,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.00671,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009742,
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        "worst_return": -0.038117,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "worst_return": -0.065396,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.043433,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -5.509265,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 78612.55,
        "trend": 26.92683,
        "fair_value": 24.280374,
        "relative_strength": -4.320298,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.695596,
        "energy": 51.801946,
        "activity_lines": [
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          27.279543,
          27.122826
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.5999,
        "volume": 22641,
        "typical_volume": 71582.05,
        "trend": 26.9735,
        "fair_value": 24.313516,
        "relative_strength": -3.416352,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.371729,
        "energy": 51.806396,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.9043,
        "volume": 20560,
        "typical_volume": 67688.65,
        "trend": 27.027773,
        "fair_value": 24.35205,
        "relative_strength": -3.250346,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.298532,
        "energy": 59.031234,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.70088,
          27.612665,
          27.416528,
          27.226302
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.19,
        "volume": 69196,
        "typical_volume": 57710.2,
        "trend": 27.08244,
        "fair_value": 24.392546,
        "relative_strength": -5.406665,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.715477,
        "energy": 74.001208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}