{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cf26a11-8a06-4bd2-985b-302bfa1b2a3e", "symbol": "2230", "name": "Saudi Chemical Holding Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 15.768, "architecture_energy": 10.354, "architecture_maturity": 35.291, "architecture_confidence": 92.296, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.93, "rotation_up": 27.96, "upward_expansion": 49.53, "deceleration": 79.65, "rotation_down": 27.87, "downward_expansion": 27.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.207333, 8.244909, 8.268804, 8.135873 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 8.07, "trend_reference": 7.944918, "distance_from_trend": 0.015744, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.634921, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.056985, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.082507, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.013505, "excess_performance": 0.018324, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015744, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.056985, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049308, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.090825, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015303, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.013505, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.230665, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24554106, "relative_activity": 0.884528, "balance": 1.230665, "dry_up": 0.641075, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048257, "annualized_volatility": 0.254856, "from_high_reference": -0.101336, "from_low_reference": 0.347884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.944918, "fair_value_reference": 7.634921, "structural_low": 6.728149, "invalidation": "A sustained 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8.320046, 8.196877, 8.017498 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.46, "volume": 20427827, "typical_volume": 30703894.7, "trend": 7.760539, "fair_value": 7.562104, "relative_strength": 16.49047, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.399989, "energy": 21.743385, "activity_lines": [ 8.296, 8.344182, 8.242479, 8.067007 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.37, "volume": 11871330, "typical_volume": 29489278.55, "trend": 7.833381, "fair_value": 7.588486, "relative_strength": 14.084147, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.480151, "energy": 23.399372, "activity_lines": [ 8.328667, 8.343818, 8.273897, 8.106327 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.11, "volume": 14330596, "typical_volume": 27033637.0, "trend": 7.888664, "fair_value": 7.611396, "relative_strength": 12.51432, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.516956, "energy": 20.304566, "activity_lines": [ 8.273333, 8.294909, 8.276216, 8.124174 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.07, "volume": 24554106, "typical_volume": 27759563.4, "trend": 7.944918, "fair_value": 7.634921, "relative_strength": 9.082507, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.768093, "energy": 10.354398, "activity_lines": [ 8.207333, 8.244909, 8.268804, 8.135873 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }