{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7cf6a514-44fb-4d3b-bd18-388d0ef167a0", "symbol": "603105", "name": "Zhejiang Sunoren Solar Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.806, "architecture_energy": 60.767, "architecture_maturity": 63.35, "architecture_confidence": 91.86, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.87, "rotation_up": 29.21, "upward_expansion": 16.5, "deceleration": 57.06, "rotation_down": 48.9, "downward_expansion": 78.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.044, 7.062727, 7.851993, 8.509254 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.2, "trend_reference": 9.172855, "distance_from_trend": -0.215075, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.150748, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.213179, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.681209, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.260103, "excess_performance": -0.216899, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.215075, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074237, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.213179, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221718, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206812, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184414, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.260103, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.579981, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42004691, "relative_activity": 0.472061, "balance": 0.579981, "dry_up": 0.551442, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085542, "annualized_volatility": 0.481491, "from_high_reference": -0.48946, "from_low_reference": 0.125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.172855, "fair_value_reference": 9.150748, "structural_low": 6.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.021109, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": -0.011917, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.234721, "worst_return": -0.273333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.034374, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.090126, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.261839, "worst_return": -0.328972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.019073, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.019463, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.340021, "worst_return": -0.287234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -22.431348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.35503, "energy": 83.098588, "activity_lines": [ 6.846, 7.173331, 8.192628, 8.776774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.19, "volume": 38896920, "typical_volume": 102727002.0, "trend": 9.232448, "fair_value": 9.201625, "relative_strength": -18.898211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.781245, "energy": 70.067153, "activity_lines": [ 6.954, 7.098909, 8.014037, 8.640379 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.2, "volume": 42004691, "typical_volume": 88981397.6, "trend": 9.172855, "fair_value": 9.150748, "relative_strength": -20.681209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.805951, "energy": 60.767338, "activity_lines": [ 7.044, 7.062727, 7.851993, 8.509254 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }