{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7cf82147-ee6d-4a26-b124-7dd072ebbbe1",
    "symbol": "N1VO34",
    "name": "Novo Nordisk A/S",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 57.774,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 15.682,
    "architecture_energy": 17.726,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.822,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.849,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.24,
        "rotation_up": 32.79,
        "upward_expansion": 37.15,
        "deceleration": 63.61,
        "rotation_down": 32.56,
        "downward_expansion": 21.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.414667,
        30.632001,
        29.540953,
        28.734869
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 29.98,
    "trend_reference": 29.065894,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.031449,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 54.959836,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.454511,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -10.016459,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.014711,
    "excess_performance": 0.042338,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031449,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032624,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.454511,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048317,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100165,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.24654,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014711,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.560867,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 272494,
      "relative_activity": 2.885883,
      "balance": 1.560867,
      "dry_up": 1.333633,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074203,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.45196,
      "from_high_reference": -0.276649,
      "from_low_reference": 0.30917
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 29.065894,
      "fair_value_reference": 54.959836,
      "structural_low": 22.9,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.122552,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.143973,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.074279,
        "worst_return": -0.25573,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.213742,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.327168,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.058771,
        "worst_return": -0.368714,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.008808,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020338,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.263331,
        "worst_return": -0.245716,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.338735,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.153181,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.338735,
        "worst_return": 0.338735,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-06-16",
        "end": "2023-08-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.200524,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.069148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.128337,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.215517,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038201,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.029513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.139759,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076941,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.447811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.248492,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.23743,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.159836,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.100725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110386,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 9666.5,
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      },
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      },
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        "fair_value": 56.784954,
        "relative_strength": -47.246486,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 56.126454,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 252821.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 255827.6,
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        "fair_value": 56.498064,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 262271.1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 251910.85,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 250068.3,
        "trend": 30.178253,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 231663.3,
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        "relative_strength": -25.85735,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 211236.6,
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        "fair_value": 55.870966,
        "relative_strength": -25.395524,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 184303.45,
        "trend": 29.835842,
        "fair_value": 55.752704,
        "relative_strength": -24.65063,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 121003.1,
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        "fair_value": 55.546096,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 20.22622,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 111995.1,
        "trend": 29.728536,
        "fair_value": 55.473155,
        "relative_strength": -5.86583,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.637199,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 102805,
        "typical_volume": 113429.1,
        "trend": 29.679719,
        "fair_value": 55.38476,
        "relative_strength": -12.137359,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.421356,
        "energy": 62.261219,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.226667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.400002,
        "volume": 70409,
        "typical_volume": 101229.9,
        "trend": 29.673832,
        "fair_value": 55.294459,
        "relative_strength": -6.568264,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.302393,
        "energy": 72.200249,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.912668,
          30.570728,
          28.849532,
          28.635415
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.540001,
        "volume": 80586,
        "typical_volume": 92194.95,
        "trend": 29.526173,
        "fair_value": 55.206653,
        "relative_strength": -10.488589,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.215587,
        "energy": 64.628052,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.662668,
          30.706001,
          29.154722,
          28.691296
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.57,
        "volume": 80214,
        "typical_volume": 86244.7,
        "trend": 29.34846,
        "fair_value": 55.107662,
        "relative_strength": -14.599801,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.924703,
        "energy": 31.542274,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.943334,
          30.645455,
          29.340016,
          28.694124
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.98,
        "volume": 272494,
        "typical_volume": 94423.1,
        "trend": 29.065894,
        "fair_value": 54.959836,
        "relative_strength": -10.016459,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.682156,
        "energy": 17.726375,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.414667,
          30.632001,
          29.540953,
          28.734869
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}