{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d07c42b-aa7b-4163-98f1-9c846bae9b2b", "symbol": "MIRCELECTR", "name": "Onida Electronics Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.78, "architecture_energy": 21.972, "architecture_maturity": 58.005, "architecture_confidence": 88.743, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.43, "rotation_up": 25.17, "upward_expansion": 56.94, "deceleration": 87.73, "rotation_down": 32.15, "downward_expansion": 18.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.508, 39.639091, 39.245952, 37.088516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 38.380001, "trend_reference": 34.65, "distance_from_trend": 0.107648, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.624167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.624608, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 22.739608, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.18056, "excess_performance": 0.224269, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107648, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150309, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.624608, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.340778, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.227396, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.524038, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.18056, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.204484, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1783525, "relative_activity": 0.236293, "balance": 0.204484, "dry_up": 0.13251, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110855, "annualized_volatility": 0.520905, "from_high_reference": -0.220394, "from_low_reference": 0.846968 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.65, "fair_value_reference": 23.624167, "structural_low": 22.68, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.057002, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.033351, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.123308, "worst_return": -0.159269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.034466, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.029089, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.500889, "worst_return": -0.284768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.091983, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.17028, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.119022, "worst_return": -0.419256, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"trend": 34.120333, "fair_value": 23.412051, "relative_strength": 29.455653, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.625851, "energy": 30.537095, "activity_lines": [ 40.328, 40.488545, 38.943476, 36.604322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.66, "volume": 719860, "typical_volume": 7667073.95, "trend": 34.414666, "fair_value": 23.520449, "relative_strength": 22.706973, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.447155, "energy": 19.237728, "activity_lines": [ 39.151333, 39.982909, 39.091762, 36.832688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.380001, "volume": 1783525, "typical_volume": 7547924.55, "trend": 34.65, "fair_value": 23.624167, "relative_strength": 22.739608, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.779523, "energy": 21.972492, "activity_lines": [ 38.508, 39.639091, 39.245952, 37.088516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }