{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d0bac9f-4833-4210-9381-f5d367d50310",
    "symbol": "VICO",
    "name": "Vicore Pharma Holding AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 66.924,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 27.643,
    "architecture_energy": 18.937,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.326,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.301,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.46,
        "rotation_up": 25.78,
        "upward_expansion": 55.43,
        "deceleration": 87.65,
        "rotation_down": 33.91,
        "downward_expansion": 19.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.394667,
        11.702182,
        11.501095,
        11.201935
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.46,
    "trend_reference": 10.99,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.042766,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.003247,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.045258,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.76527,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.108317,
    "excess_performance": 0.046823,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042766,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036141,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045258,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095791,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077653,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028759,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108317,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.622167,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2345249,
      "relative_activity": 0.915464,
      "balance": 0.622167,
      "dry_up": 0.860032,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.13532,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.369867,
      "from_high_reference": -0.371711,
      "from_low_reference": 0.329466
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.99,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.003247,
      "structural_low": 9.01,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.083333,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048313,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.836143,
        "worst_return": -0.275573,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.112069,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.162062,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.119318,
        "worst_return": -0.188498,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.019959,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.130298,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.526136,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.012069,
        "worst_return": -0.636364,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.141117,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 2922761.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 10.628667,
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        "relative_strength": -4.851922,
        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 1258848,
        "typical_volume": 2281526.4,
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        "fair_value": 12.158247,
        "relative_strength": 10.701639,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.76,
        "volume": 7872397,
        "typical_volume": 2576856.8,
        "trend": 10.962667,
        "fair_value": 12.142221,
        "relative_strength": 6.825541,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.452619,
        "energy": 62.227695,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.36,
        "volume": 2658173,
        "typical_volume": 2589350.7,
        "trend": 11.014,
        "fair_value": 12.118119,
        "relative_strength": -4.233066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.094043,
        "energy": 51.919948,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.286667,
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          11.424,
          11.153935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.22,
        "volume": 1620808,
        "typical_volume": 2513528.2,
        "trend": 11.018667,
        "fair_value": 12.08158,
        "relative_strength": -7.026941,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.016868,
        "energy": 31.269182,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.934667,
          11.864364,
          11.451905,
          11.167226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.12,
        "volume": 2188742,
        "typical_volume": 2530382.95,
        "trend": 11.023333,
        "fair_value": 12.036324,
        "relative_strength": -9.162619,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.12824,
        "energy": 15.822036,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.568,
          11.745091,
          11.463429,
          11.173763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.46,
        "volume": 2345249,
        "typical_volume": 2561814.3,
        "trend": 10.99,
        "fair_value": 12.003247,
        "relative_strength": -7.76527,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.643114,
        "energy": 18.936861,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.394667,
          11.702182,
          11.501095,
          11.201935
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}