{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d1ca751-a83c-418e-974f-5a391176c2c7", "symbol": "900917", "name": "Shanghai Haixin Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 57.16, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -26.161, "architecture_energy": 15.33, "architecture_maturity": 53.646, "architecture_confidence": 65.76, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.61, "rotation_up": 28.19, "upward_expansion": 20.22, "deceleration": 42.79, "rotation_down": 29.84, "downward_expansion": 58.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.25511, 0.253566, 0.254811, 0.259201 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.263, "trend_reference": 0.264867, "distance_from_trend": -0.00705, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.265669, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010046, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.748825, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.067376, "excess_performance": -0.024172, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00705, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015729, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010046, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007104, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017488, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097068, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.067376, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.50223, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4956400, "relative_activity": 1.574561, "balance": 0.50223, "dry_up": 1.513398, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040457, "annualized_volatility": 0.152883, "from_high_reference": -0.102389, "from_low_reference": 0.101063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.264867, "fair_value_reference": 0.265669, "structural_low": 0.23886, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.018247, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.347826, "median_excess_return": 0.015037, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.257011, "worst_return": -0.283154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.033139, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.014291, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.293051, "worst_return": -0.208029, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.037018, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.013965, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.071496, "worst_return": -0.0725, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-50.374855, "energy": 33.413395, "activity_lines": [ 0.252512, 0.252144, 0.257659, 0.262226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.24857, "volume": 7220527, "typical_volume": 3264506.4, "trend": 0.265534, "fair_value": 0.265827, "relative_strength": -3.615605, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.594516, "energy": 40.183658, "activity_lines": [ 0.251272, 0.25133, 0.256268, 0.2611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.248, "volume": 4183708, "typical_volume": 3318485.65, "trend": 0.265067, "fair_value": 0.265847, "relative_strength": -4.798388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.709527, "energy": 37.926787, "activity_lines": [ 0.249804, 0.250657, 0.254959, 0.259969 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.255, "volume": 2694850, "typical_volume": 3136561.1, "trend": 0.264834, "fair_value": 0.265753, "relative_strength": -2.325311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.65017, "energy": 30.624218, "activity_lines": [ 0.251403, 0.251403, 0.254449, 0.259319 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.263, "volume": 4956400, "typical_volume": 3147797.45, "trend": 0.264867, "fair_value": 0.265669, "relative_strength": -1.748825, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.161316, "energy": 15.330252, "activity_lines": [ 0.25511, 0.253566, 0.254811, 0.259201 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }