{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d1d1520-6fcf-47b6-abe6-f51095ca1b3c", "symbol": "TEAM", "name": "TEAM plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.937, "architecture_energy": 45.102, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.044, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.48, "rotation_up": 25.58, "upward_expansion": 6.06, "deceleration": 58.92, "rotation_down": 50.69, "downward_expansion": 79.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.156333, 0.158545, 0.160405, 0.172011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.155, "trend_reference": 0.194833, "distance_from_trend": -0.204448, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.236221, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.343835, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -41.24551, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.436364, "excess_performance": -0.487599, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.204448, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169154, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.343835, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012592, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.412455, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048161, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.436364, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.006635, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 390566, "relative_activity": 1.320989, "balance": 0.006635, "dry_up": 1.004215, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091067, "annualized_volatility": 0.363762, "from_high_reference": -0.6125, "from_low_reference": 0.148148 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.194833, "fair_value_reference": 0.236221, "structural_low": 0.135, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.013889, "positive_rate": 0.189189, "directional_follow_through": 0.567568, "median_excess_return": -0.032979, "regime_survival": 0.918919, "best_return": 0.095238, "worst_return": -0.295082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.087719, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.109241, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.138889, "worst_return": -0.457627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.326573, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.353068, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.521739, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-05-26", "end": "2023-08-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-08-11", "end": "2023-09-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.686667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.06383, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.85625, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": 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"close": 0.16, "volume": 76372, "typical_volume": 246064.8, "trend": 0.206833, "fair_value": 0.240933, "relative_strength": -41.41627, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.835953, "energy": 39.277027, "activity_lines": [ 0.162333, 0.161545, 0.164762, 0.181269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.155, "volume": 585466, "typical_volume": 271798.75, "trend": 0.202833, "fair_value": 0.239362, "relative_strength": -42.897828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.654077, "energy": 44.053027, "activity_lines": [ 0.16, 0.160455, 0.162929, 0.177925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.155, "volume": 135228, "typical_volume": 276550.3, "trend": 0.198833, "fair_value": 0.237792, "relative_strength": -42.354718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.128112, "energy": 44.663064, "activity_lines": [ 0.158, 0.159455, 0.1615, 0.174839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.155, "volume": 390566, "typical_volume": 295661.9, "trend": 0.194833, "fair_value": 0.236221, "relative_strength": -41.24551, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.936643, "energy": 45.102142, "activity_lines": [ 0.156333, 0.158545, 0.160405, 0.172011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }