{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d25b8bb-ca69-464b-afa6-7f48c8b19ac9", "symbol": "603726", "name": "Zhejiang Langdi Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.178, "architecture_energy": 29.051, "architecture_maturity": 62.295, "architecture_confidence": 51.798, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.98, "rotation_up": 19.48, "upward_expansion": 19.75, "deceleration": 67.28, "rotation_down": 65.01, "downward_expansion": 42.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.18, 26.444119, 26.490246, 26.09233 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 24.110001, "trend_reference": 25.81904, "distance_from_trend": -0.066193, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.491469, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.378386, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.187169, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.048164, "excess_performance": -0.00496, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066193, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05633, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.378386, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.182332, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001872, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081857, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.048164, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.044699, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28598045, "relative_activity": 1.006052, "balance": 1.044699, "dry_up": 1.615852, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.169752, "annualized_volatility": 0.722982, "from_high_reference": -0.330278, "from_low_reference": 0.385632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.81904, "fair_value_reference": 17.491469, "structural_low": 20.27, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.040642, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.036322, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.152855, "worst_return": -0.146558, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.034205, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.02306, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.307692, "worst_return": -0.179134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.071764, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020075, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.19998, "worst_return": -0.148466, "sufficient": true }, { 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51741312, "typical_volume": 22203157.95, "trend": 25.672706, "fair_value": 17.204621, "relative_strength": 35.414657, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.296045, "energy": 81.936232, "activity_lines": [ 31.729433, 29.620158, 27.378554, 26.649695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.4, "volume": 46453660, "typical_volume": 23856895.55, "trend": 25.728706, "fair_value": 17.277736, "relative_strength": 2.517198, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.219588, "energy": 41.888519, "activity_lines": [ 29.452, 28.715872, 27.116215, 26.503069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.0, "volume": 47705986, "typical_volume": 25199941.4, "trend": 25.835706, "fair_value": 17.360076, "relative_strength": 7.580566, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.524922, "energy": 21.251894, "activity_lines": [ 27.802667, 28.137259, 27.026971, 26.456056 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.91, "volume": 60971233, "typical_volume": 27565265.05, "trend": 25.82204, "fair_value": 17.421576, "relative_strength": -6.393145, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.484121, "energy": 21.682535, "activity_lines": [ 25.374667, 27.031221, 26.646013, 26.202784 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.110001, "volume": 28598045, "typical_volume": 28426010.5, "trend": 25.81904, "fair_value": 17.491469, "relative_strength": -0.187169, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.178204, "energy": 29.050986, "activity_lines": [ 24.18, 26.444119, 26.490246, 26.09233 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }