{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d3ad29b-e679-4eb6-9059-11eafa220c12",
    "symbol": "CFA",
    "name": "VICTORYSHARES US 500 VOLATILITY WTD ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.012,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.637,
    "architecture_energy": 75.542,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.209,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.147,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.87,
        "rotation_up": 75.22,
        "upward_expansion": 91.99,
        "deceleration": 46.82,
        "rotation_down": 18.32,
        "downward_expansion": 13.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        100.22632,
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        98.041907,
        96.847011
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 101.8413,
    "trend_reference": 95.6152,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065116,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 83.498572,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.219677,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.398608,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.06753,
    "excess_performance": -0.119924,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065116,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030256,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219677,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046317,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043986,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081208,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06753,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.137474,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16577,
      "relative_activity": 0.531748,
      "balance": 2.137474,
      "dry_up": 0.807822,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016108,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.09721,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003882,
      "from_low_reference": 0.177448
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 95.6152,
      "fair_value_reference": 83.498572,
      "structural_low": 89.405933,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.015736,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000407,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.056902,
        "worst_return": -0.078426,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.039178,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
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        "worst_return": -0.137387,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 33435.3,
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        "fair_value": 82.904646,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 99.409635,
        "volume": 28579,
        "typical_volume": 33291.1,
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        "fair_value": 83.092216,
        "relative_strength": -1.696294,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 82.455124,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 99.619529,
        "volume": 24257,
        "typical_volume": 32350.7,
        "trend": 95.321833,
        "fair_value": 83.288708,
        "relative_strength": -1.874156,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.519857,
        "energy": 70.292017,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 101.8413,
        "volume": 16577,
        "typical_volume": 31174.55,
        "trend": 95.6152,
        "fair_value": 83.498572,
        "relative_strength": -4.398608,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.636534,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}