{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d444eb5-6c80-4150-810b-c1023a3f8ac5", "symbol": "COWG", "name": "PACER US LARGE CAP CASH COWS GROWTH LEADERS ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 75.365, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.334, "architecture_energy": 23.172, "architecture_maturity": 53.008, "architecture_confidence": 79.001, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.87, "rotation_up": 32.76, "upward_expansion": 59.58, "deceleration": 85.13, "rotation_down": 27.11, "downward_expansion": 18.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.191487, 38.328231, 38.042963, 37.306736 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.9857, "trend_reference": 36.506815, "distance_from_trend": 0.067902, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.731047, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.26861, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.389017, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.109801, "excess_performance": -0.077653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067902, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030752, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.26861, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007747, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.05389, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063163, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109801, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.33395, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1369554, "relative_activity": 0.854822, "balance": 1.33395, "dry_up": 0.855459, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039893, "annualized_volatility": 0.152184, "from_high_reference": -0.031635, "from_low_reference": 0.19524 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.506815, "fair_value_reference": 30.731047, "structural_low": 32.617453, "invalidation": "A 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"teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.023761, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.004144, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.021846, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.071442, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001025, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009353, "active": false }, { "regime": 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38.87, "volume": 1293718, "typical_volume": 2174483.45, "trend": 35.84673, "fair_value": 29.981104, "relative_strength": -9.56298, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.24489, "energy": 71.090769, "activity_lines": [ 38.670308, 38.143228, 36.835656, 36.333894 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 38.25, "volume": 1395961, "typical_volume": 2060670.1, "trend": 35.958416, "fair_value": 30.090055, "relative_strength": -6.523386, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.130411, "energy": 51.898601, "activity_lines": [ 38.559123, 38.252456, 37.05231, 36.488944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 38.89, "volume": 1214221, "typical_volume": 1948137.15, "trend": 36.072822, "fair_value": 30.205282, "relative_strength": -5.483265, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.51597, "energy": 51.482648, "activity_lines": [ 38.66116, 38.441575, 37.315053, 36.678078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 39.23, "volume": 1141457, "typical_volume": 1887466.55, "trend": 36.209862, "fair_value": 30.316649, "relative_strength": -6.093637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.766511, "energy": 50.367719, "activity_lines": [ 38.874753, 38.648508, 37.590562, 36.881767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.6969, "volume": 1291827, "typical_volume": 1830949.45, "trend": 36.282172, "fair_value": 30.417873, "relative_strength": -5.588252, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.746612, "energy": 35.398999, "activity_lines": [ 38.4963, 38.525832, 37.699447, 36.977705 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.24, "volume": 985121, "typical_volume": 1681584.75, "trend": 36.32928, "fair_value": 30.513866, "relative_strength": -4.956713, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.835645, "energy": 27.112064, "activity_lines": [ 38.047173, 38.314486, 37.753215, 37.039501 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.9, "volume": 1835798, "typical_volume": 1642478.2, "trend": 36.41427, "fair_value": 30.618661, "relative_strength": -3.569984, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.474131, "energy": 19.670937, "activity_lines": [ 37.926713, 38.219492, 37.856086, 37.140837 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.9857, "volume": 1369554, "typical_volume": 1602150.95, "trend": 36.506815, "fair_value": 30.731047, "relative_strength": -5.389017, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.334433, "energy": 23.171708, "activity_lines": [ 38.191487, 38.328231, 38.042963, 37.306736 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }