{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d44b61f-0d25-4ab4-b33d-95ec3d8f0f2f",
    "symbol": "THE",
    "name": "TD International Equity CAD Hedged Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.009,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.141,
    "architecture_energy": 68.169,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.026,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.188,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.14,
        "rotation_up": 65.81,
        "upward_expansion": 87.54,
        "deceleration": 51.3,
        "rotation_down": 22.46,
        "downward_expansion": 11.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.524666,
        33.317852,
        32.773612,
        32.315512
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 34.07,
    "trend_reference": 31.828692,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.070418,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.145006,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.303117,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.632575,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.081283,
    "excess_performance": -0.039139,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070418,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039054,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303117,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043777,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006326,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022306,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081283,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.473884,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21600,
      "relative_activity": 0.688446,
      "balance": 1.473884,
      "dry_up": 0.85498,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01894,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.144925,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000293,
      "from_low_reference": 0.254148
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.828692,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.145006,
      "structural_low": 29.211352,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.011744,
        "positive_rate": 0.627907,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.627907,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005346,
        "regime_survival": 0.767442,
        "best_return": 0.072144,
        "worst_return": -0.05023,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.034208,
        "positive_rate": 0.8125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8125,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009115,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.045795,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002622,
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        "worst_return": -0.1004,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.043612,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 31.370001,
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        "typical_volume": 67675.0,
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        "fair_value": 24.998918,
        "relative_strength": -3.639378,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 51.979601,
        "energy": 41.85964,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 69320.0,
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        "relative_strength": -2.863131,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 69895.0,
        "trend": 30.422998,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 62300.0,
        "trend": 30.632361,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 59635.0,
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        "fair_value": 25.429311,
        "relative_strength": -2.680218,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 57040.0,
        "trend": 30.848698,
        "fair_value": 25.504022,
        "relative_strength": -1.507828,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 70.938023,
        "energy": 62.429457,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 25.661775,
        "relative_strength": -0.995339,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.323251,
        "energy": 72.452968,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 3600,
        "typical_volume": 45540.0,
        "trend": 31.253328,
        "fair_value": 25.745468,
        "relative_strength": 0.227647,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 83.179398,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 44925.0,
        "trend": 31.384578,
        "fair_value": 25.826041,
        "relative_strength": -0.356466,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.748837,
        "energy": 81.1719,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.161188,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.970001,
        "volume": 18000,
        "typical_volume": 39705.0,
        "trend": 31.4927,
        "fair_value": 25.90272,
        "relative_strength": -1.055853,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.986747,
        "energy": 70.910208,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.131903,
          32.868127,
          32.28187,
          31.936103
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.209999,
        "volume": 32100,
        "typical_volume": 36520.0,
        "trend": 31.607508,
        "fair_value": 25.979444,
        "relative_strength": -0.531228,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.41366,
        "energy": 65.576144,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.162,
          32.982902,
          32.425507,
          32.046897
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.419998,
        "volume": 35600,
        "typical_volume": 34275.0,
        "trend": 31.718953,
        "fair_value": 26.06062,
        "relative_strength": 0.571163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.454867,
        "energy": 55.522662,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.255333,
          33.103797,
          32.576212,
          32.163832
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.07,
        "volume": 21600,
        "typical_volume": 31375.0,
        "trend": 31.828692,
        "fair_value": 26.145006,
        "relative_strength": -0.632575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.141076,
        "energy": 68.169197,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.524666,
          33.317852,
          32.773612,
          32.315512
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}