{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d459c48-be10-4b24-a052-f4304954d901", "symbol": "UEL", "name": "Ujaas Energy Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 48.923, "architecture_energy": 63.309, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.409, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.13, "rotation_up": 70.26, "upward_expansion": 48.28, "deceleration": 26.92, "rotation_down": 24.7, "downward_expansion": 34.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 176.238668, 156.159636, 150.283857, 151.400645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 257.790009, "trend_reference": 151.469, "distance_from_trend": 0.701932, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 138.28988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.864128, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 85.161438, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.489685, "excess_performance": 0.533394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.701932, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024127, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.864128, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.778048, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.851614, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.596792, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.489685, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.199217, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 403833, "relative_activity": 5.883322, "balance": 2.199217, "dry_up": 2.443557, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071089, "annualized_volatility": 0.905589, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 1.792454 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 151.469, "fair_value_reference": 138.28988, "structural_low": 117.510002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.055162, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.019985, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.422083, "worst_return": -0.099624, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.015349, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.004868, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.337477, "worst_return": -0.016393, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.304605, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.334673, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.721311, "worst_return": 0.211388, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 139.808982, "relative_strength": -2.88974, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.369308, "energy": 65.32983, "activity_lines": [ 131.973329, 135.695816, 143.319951, 147.004902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 125.699997, "volume": 17860, "typical_volume": 44680.0, "trend": 147.283333, "fair_value": 139.156333, "relative_strength": -5.877897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.244077, "energy": 74.333051, "activity_lines": [ 129.171329, 133.157088, 141.054427, 145.560644 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 119.980003, "volume": 22086, "typical_volume": 43538.35, "trend": 146.539333, "fair_value": 138.534851, "relative_strength": -8.489675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.243604, "energy": 83.675269, "activity_lines": [ 125.421331, 130.147271, 138.49938, 143.799139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 153.729996, "volume": 227127, "typical_volume": 51134.75, "trend": 147.157333, "fair_value": 138.061882, "relative_strength": 13.372634, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.3459, "energy": 27.577891, "activity_lines": [ 134.179998, 133.778361, 139.436856, 144.263053 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 257.790009, "volume": 403833, "typical_volume": 68640.3, "trend": 151.469, "fair_value": 138.28988, "relative_strength": 85.161438, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.922955, "energy": 63.309257, "activity_lines": [ 176.238668, 156.159636, 150.283857, 151.400645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }