{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d5f66cb-c15f-4f82-babb-16520bec91ac",
    "symbol": "NWG",
    "name": "Natwest Group PLC",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.828,
    "architecture_energy": 87.711,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.659,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.919,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.86,
        "rotation_up": 82.8,
        "upward_expansion": 98.34,
        "deceleration": 39.57,
        "rotation_down": 10.55,
        "downward_expansion": 20.34
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        17.250857,
        16.762381
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 19.19,
    "trend_reference": 16.391465,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.170731,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.663484,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.799599,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.875245,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.107014,
    "excess_performance": -0.018611,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170731,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034547,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.799599,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162012,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088752,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131173,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107014,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.628746,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23164757,
      "relative_activity": 1.114558,
      "balance": 4.628746,
      "dry_up": 1.060472,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046184,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.334115,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011843,
      "from_low_reference": 0.478467
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.391465,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.663484,
      "structural_low": 13.76,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
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        "positive_rate": 0.638889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.638889,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 16.022367,
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        "relative_strength": 5.572445,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "energy": 51.113857,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 7.610545,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 4.508599,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 79.16681,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.92,
        "volume": 21850047,
        "typical_volume": 21002243.7,
        "trend": 16.205821,
        "fair_value": 10.401159,
        "relative_strength": 6.747146,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.195199,
        "energy": 80.11149,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.721333,
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          16.527688,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.97,
        "volume": 16141914,
        "typical_volume": 20728738.85,
        "trend": 16.239753,
        "fair_value": 10.483264,
        "relative_strength": 7.382235,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.183321,
        "energy": 80.470275,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.867333,
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          16.716425,
          16.401881
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.94,
        "volume": 27005885,
        "typical_volume": 20962201.3,
        "trend": 16.302508,
        "fair_value": 10.572736,
        "relative_strength": 11.539986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.245386,
        "energy": 83.363027,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.256667,
          17.768909,
          16.982714,
          16.576091
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.19,
        "volume": 23164757,
        "typical_volume": 20783810.25,
        "trend": 16.391465,
        "fair_value": 10.663484,
        "relative_strength": 8.875245,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.827593,
        "energy": 87.710788,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.614667,
          18.112909,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}