{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d8b282e-4eb5-499e-8c16-ca273eed4b91",
    "symbol": "ACRI-A",
    "name": "Acrinova AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 66.967,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -10.102,
    "architecture_energy": 10.465,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.002,
    "architecture_confidence": 38.898,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.75,
        "rotation_up": 26.89,
        "upward_expansion": 13.98,
        "deceleration": 62.31,
        "rotation_down": 33.78,
        "downward_expansion": 36.64
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.352,
        8.326909,
        8.573722,
        8.608826
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 8.44,
    "trend_reference": 8.510663,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.008303,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.025287,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.201374,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.755236,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.060388,
    "excess_performance": -0.001107,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008303,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016525,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201374,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.282267,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127552,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160131,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060388,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.304683,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4702,
      "relative_activity": 0.107493,
      "balance": 0.304683,
      "dry_up": 0.120518,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.092235,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.438778,
      "from_high_reference": -0.350769,
      "from_low_reference": 0.248521
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.510663,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.025287,
      "structural_low": 6.76,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.009756,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004853,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.161616,
        "worst_return": -0.185484,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.114825,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.161512,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.056262,
        "worst_return": -0.173387,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.048853,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064921,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.169355,
        "worst_return": -0.071649,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.470619,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.459163,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.470619,
        "worst_return": 0.470619,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.204884,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.1123,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.177778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058486,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.112903,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 31284.35,
        "trend": 8.325677,
        "fair_value": 6.703209,
        "relative_strength": 6.276547,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 48266.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 44703.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.441662,
        "energy": 22.004422,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 6.919373,
        "relative_strength": -14.99822,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 19.961657,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 5847,
        "typical_volume": 45201.15,
        "trend": 8.452205,
        "fair_value": 6.942784,
        "relative_strength": -8.530793,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.981832,
        "energy": 14.254419,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.96,
        "volume": 3817,
        "typical_volume": 43725.15,
        "trend": 8.449792,
        "fair_value": 6.961522,
        "relative_strength": -15.047395,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.135315,
        "energy": 16.322081,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.274667,
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          8.626972
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.28,
        "volume": 8841,
        "typical_volume": 43947.3,
        "trend": 8.464132,
        "fair_value": 6.982509,
        "relative_strength": -12.529485,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -3.930178,
        "energy": 7.657749,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.64308,
          8.616017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.4,
        "volume": 3727,
        "typical_volume": 43742.65,
        "trend": 8.487339,
        "fair_value": 7.004661,
        "relative_strength": -12.001387,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -9.95737,
        "energy": 7.870395,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.317333,
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          8.607372,
          8.61188
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.44,
        "volume": 4702,
        "typical_volume": 43742.4,
        "trend": 8.510663,
        "fair_value": 7.025287,
        "relative_strength": -12.755236,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -10.102442,
        "energy": 10.465475,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.352,
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          8.573722,
          8.608826
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}