{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d8bd151-aba5-40ac-9d76-658bcb296762", "symbol": "CYH", "name": "iShares Global Monthly Dividend Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) Common Class", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.285, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.379, "architecture_energy": 74.57, "architecture_maturity": 35.278, "architecture_confidence": 71.853, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.28, "rotation_up": 78.39, "upward_expansion": 94.27, "deceleration": 39.34, "rotation_down": 10.28, "downward_expansion": 16.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.430552, 27.166881, 26.91428, 26.730366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 27.549999, "trend_reference": 26.465586, "distance_from_trend": 0.040974, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.565789, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.277486, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.12307, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.044612, "excess_performance": -0.07581, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.040974, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036757, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.277486, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004342, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.031231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004326, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.044612, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.149083, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25700, "relative_activity": 1.144256, "balance": 4.149083, "dry_up": 0.850401, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019828, "annualized_volatility": 0.09418, "from_high_reference": -0.012545, "from_low_reference": 0.212332 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.465586, "fair_value_reference": 21.565789, "structural_low": 25.471792, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.010207, "positive_rate": 0.675676, "directional_follow_through": 0.675676, "median_excess_return": -0.006085, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 0.064484, "worst_return": -0.034675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.031272, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.026461, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.079475, "worst_return": -0.090633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.060499, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.021578, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.120295, "worst_return": -0.07865, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 26.890559, 26.792575, 26.63669, 26.491234 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.46422, "volume": 15900, "typical_volume": 21250.0, "trend": 26.270426, "fair_value": 21.432983, "relative_strength": -0.920469, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.352091, "energy": 65.996769, "activity_lines": [ 27.130474, 26.927709, 26.732591, 26.574971 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.5, "volume": 17800, "typical_volume": 21655.0, "trend": 26.370954, "fair_value": 21.499512, "relative_strength": -0.292413, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.888195, "energy": 71.69563, "activity_lines": [ 27.303955, 27.048502, 26.824774, 26.654298 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.549999, "volume": 25700, "typical_volume": 22460.0, "trend": 26.465586, "fair_value": 21.565789, "relative_strength": -3.12307, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.378899, "energy": 74.569711, "activity_lines": [ 27.430552, 27.166881, 26.91428, 26.730366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }