{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d8cf9df-9e11-49cb-8181-6f7d511fba9d",
    "symbol": "9533",
    "name": "Saudi Parts Center Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -68.308,
    "architecture_energy": 88.022,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.85,
        "rotation_up": 29.99,
        "upward_expansion": 21.92,
        "deceleration": 37.02,
        "rotation_down": 59.16,
        "downward_expansion": 97.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.0,
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        17.956238,
        19.737312
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.0,
    "trend_reference": 22.594333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.247599,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 49.096282,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.653742,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -37.751635,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.467085,
    "excess_performance": -0.435255,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.247599,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171732,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.653742,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008395,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.377516,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073154,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.467085,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.118065,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26,
      "relative_activity": 0.012586,
      "balance": 0.118065,
      "dry_up": 0.007503,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034887,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.390533,
      "from_high_reference": -0.630435,
      "from_low_reference": 0.017964
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.594333,
      "fair_value_reference": 49.096282,
      "structural_low": 16.700001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.033333,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.72,
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        "worst_return": -0.225438,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.052221,
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        "worst_return": -0.404389,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.415385,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.313725,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-09-22",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "return": 0.0,
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      {
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        "trend": 27.762333,
        "fair_value": 52.868333,
        "relative_strength": -46.304629,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.662304,
        "energy": 91.304796,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.613333,
          20.406546,
          23.357524,
          25.296731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 18.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1810.45,
        "trend": 27.279,
        "fair_value": 52.506154,
        "relative_strength": -45.550534,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.742667,
        "energy": 78.204793,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.3,
          19.706728,
          22.620524,
          24.666903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 18.0,
        "volume": 317,
        "typical_volume": 1806.25,
        "trend": 26.795667,
        "fair_value": 52.147179,
        "relative_strength": -44.493894,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.542129,
        "energy": 87.884314,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.133333,
          19.136,
          21.935905,
          24.068258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 18.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1780.15,
        "trend": 26.312333,
        "fair_value": 51.820256,
        "relative_strength": -43.830297,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.715433,
        "energy": 89.357787,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.033333,
          18.694364,
          21.303667,
          23.500796
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 17.0,
        "volume": 725,
        "typical_volume": 1811.4,
        "trend": 25.719,
        "fair_value": 51.476667,
        "relative_strength": -46.466327,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -83.674446,
        "energy": 86.13562,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.666667,
          18.189636,
          20.640476,
          22.9
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 18.959999,
        "volume": 1530,
        "typical_volume": 1887.85,
        "trend": 25.191,
        "fair_value": 51.149487,
        "relative_strength": -38.261098,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.660792,
        "energy": 66.647312,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.053333,
          18.178182,
          20.234905,
          22.463936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 17.1,
        "volume": 7323,
        "typical_volume": 2254.0,
        "trend": 24.694333,
        "fair_value": 50.810384,
        "relative_strength": -42.921225,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.803282,
        "energy": 71.287407,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.756,
          17.929818,
          19.71381,
          21.941936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.0,
        "volume": 264,
        "typical_volume": 2262.2,
        "trend": 24.261,
        "fair_value": 50.45782,
        "relative_strength": -42.14996,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.424549,
        "energy": 69.723961,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.485333,
          17.719636,
          19.253667,
          21.445527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.0,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 2257.25,
        "trend": 23.827667,
        "fair_value": 50.116795,
        "relative_strength": -40.584389,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.712174,
        "energy": 66.747911,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.281333,
          17.545818,
          18.850667,
          20.977075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.0,
        "volume": 24,
        "typical_volume": 2232.3,
        "trend": 23.394333,
        "fair_value": 49.775769,
        "relative_strength": -39.846565,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.568978,
        "energy": 87.039244,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.144,
          17.408364,
          18.50481,
          20.536581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.0,
        "volume": 11,
        "typical_volume": 2064.5,
        "trend": 22.994333,
        "fair_value": 49.453333,
        "relative_strength": -37.443261,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.56191,
        "energy": 87.65732,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.006667,
          17.298182,
          18.211238,
          20.124043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.0,
        "volume": 26,
        "typical_volume": 2065.8,
        "trend": 22.594333,
        "fair_value": 49.096282,
        "relative_strength": -37.751635,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.307985,
        "energy": 88.022149,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.0,
          17.206182,
          17.956238,
          19.737312
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}