{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d90bbdc-fceb-40a6-9d4e-b922b628c6cc",
    "symbol": "KUANTUM",
    "name": "Kuantum Papers Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 11.062,
    "architecture_energy": 16.157,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.453,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.923,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.31,
        "rotation_up": 36.59,
        "upward_expansion": 30.01,
        "deceleration": 46.35,
        "rotation_down": 18.32,
        "downward_expansion": 43.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        80.178668,
        78.425274,
        78.05643,
        78.727398
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 86.040001,
    "trend_reference": 80.735,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065709,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 124.139063,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.306906,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.907219,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.019264,
    "excess_performance": 0.024445,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065709,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071521,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.306906,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086805,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039072,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135026,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019264,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.060311,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 977019,
      "relative_activity": 2.391152,
      "balance": 3.060311,
      "dry_up": 1.61083,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06176,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.403978,
      "from_high_reference": -0.295274,
      "from_low_reference": 0.323489
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 80.735,
      "fair_value_reference": 124.139063,
      "structural_low": 65.010002,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.03654,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039081,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.152859,
        "worst_return": -0.152822,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.058943,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040577,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.273578,
        "worst_return": -0.191527,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.093876,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.173606,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.198509,
        "worst_return": -0.2068,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.213742,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.272368,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.627371,
        "worst_return": -0.320971,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-05-05",
        "end": "2023-06-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005933,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-06-09",
        "end": "2023-09-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.205038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.1205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072422,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.037446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.118949,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.230906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.100613,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046575,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.107935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.048701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.27483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1307581.85,
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      },
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        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "typical_volume": 298672.0,
        "trend": 92.936666,
        "fair_value": 132.907661,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -15.978563,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 129.316817,
        "relative_strength": -18.556168,
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      {
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        "relative_strength": -17.258688,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 230484,
        "typical_volume": 338044.2,
        "trend": 81.998333,
        "fair_value": 126.060932,
        "relative_strength": -16.121623,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.808079,
        "energy": 29.130609,
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          76.229335,
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          77.188096,
          78.923355
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 77.360001,
        "volume": 927183,
        "typical_volume": 375700.8,
        "trend": 81.499333,
        "fair_value": 125.420597,
        "relative_strength": -12.059271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.239491,
        "energy": 20.110111,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.621335,
          76.408183,
          77.155905,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 78.050003,
        "volume": 498038,
        "typical_volume": 387441.55,
        "trend": 80.989667,
        "fair_value": 124.793872,
        "relative_strength": -12.670874,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.56206,
        "energy": 16.344975,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.122669,
          76.663638,
          77.222334,
          78.40157
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 86.040001,
        "volume": 977019,
        "typical_volume": 408597.55,
        "trend": 80.735,
        "fair_value": 124.139063,
        "relative_strength": -3.907219,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 11.062245,
        "energy": 16.15739,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.178668,
          78.425274,
          78.05643,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}