{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7d96bff0-96eb-4b8e-bee0-f81ec26ea1a9",
    "symbol": "XEN",
    "name": "iShares Jantzi Social Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.2,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 96.685,
    "architecture_energy": 95.898,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.171,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.506,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.46,
        "rotation_up": 86.54,
        "upward_expansion": 99.12,
        "deceleration": 39.45,
        "rotation_down": 11.73,
        "downward_expansion": 21.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        53.999333,
        53.48987,
        52.730646,
        52.06995
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 55.209999,
    "trend_reference": 51.256321,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077135,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.801422,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.422886,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.454188,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.130293,
    "excess_performance": 0.009872,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077135,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038476,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.422886,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033849,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004542,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009181,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130293,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.245902,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8500,
      "relative_activity": 1.804671,
      "balance": 1.245902,
      "dry_up": 0.812102,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011864,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.123981,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.319356
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.256321,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.801422,
      "structural_low": 47.611401,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": 0.013322,
        "positive_rate": 0.702128,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.702128,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001321,
        "regime_survival": 0.787234,
        "best_return": 0.058216,
        "worst_return": -0.05739,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.025041,
        "positive_rate": 0.705882,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.705882,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003231,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.144159,
        "worst_return": -0.111641,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.067009,
        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008759,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.200774,
        "worst_return": -0.151366,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.158084,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036976,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.275772,
        "worst_return": -0.023181,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012756,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.057262,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.00032,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009197,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.080995,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "typical_volume": 13050.0,
        "trend": 48.414318,
        "fair_value": 36.522873,
        "relative_strength": 0.495215,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 66.162779,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 0.297687,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -0.570234,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 11275.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 37.396669,
        "relative_strength": -0.035715,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 62.20946,
        "energy": 45.643124,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 52.028275,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9450.0,
        "trend": 49.772389,
        "fair_value": 37.547102,
        "relative_strength": -1.288499,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.23811,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 49.996907,
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        "relative_strength": -0.295651,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 75.744142,
        "energy": 77.158402,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 52.869999,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 7925.0,
        "trend": 50.174998,
        "fair_value": 37.859606,
        "relative_strength": 0.150285,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.994037,
        "energy": 83.169339,
        "activity_lines": [
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          50.931647
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 52.73,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7510.0,
        "trend": 50.350076,
        "fair_value": 38.015003,
        "relative_strength": -0.877147,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.851966,
        "energy": 86.511542,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 53.189999,
        "volume": 1900,
        "typical_volume": 7080.0,
        "trend": 50.533542,
        "fair_value": 38.169431,
        "relative_strength": -0.192981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.0765,
        "energy": 90.20447,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 53.380001,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 6425.0,
        "trend": 50.708458,
        "fair_value": 38.32363,
        "relative_strength": 0.257017,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.949516,
        "energy": 90.495953,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.079721,
          52.687463,
          52.006651,
          51.463349
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 53.330002,
        "volume": 2200,
        "typical_volume": 5975.0,
        "trend": 50.872446,
        "fair_value": 38.476425,
        "relative_strength": -0.152838,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.883398,
        "energy": 87.652756,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.204667,
          52.871923,
          52.19996,
          51.632481
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 53.5,
        "volume": 3400,
        "typical_volume": 5410.0,
        "trend": 51.056788,
        "fair_value": 38.633744,
        "relative_strength": 0.545405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.927634,
        "energy": 86.474255,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.338001,
          53.039727,
          52.393653,
          51.802001
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.209999,
        "volume": 8500,
        "typical_volume": 4710.0,
        "trend": 51.256321,
        "fair_value": 38.801422,
        "relative_strength": 0.454188,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.684765,
        "energy": 95.898476,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.999333,
          53.48987,
          52.730646,
          52.06995
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}