{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d9a11d9-a1c3-418c-9341-08c665e37210", "symbol": "XIMR", "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY BUFFER & PREMIUM INCOME ETF - MARCH", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.335, "architecture_energy": 50.942, "architecture_maturity": 19.73, "architecture_confidence": 56.144, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.45, "rotation_up": 47.75, "upward_expansion": 75.82, "deceleration": 67.93, "rotation_down": 25.99, "downward_expansion": 7.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.29327, 31.25793, 31.212255, 31.069668 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.395, "trend_reference": 30.851967, "distance_from_trend": 0.017601, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.019973, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.081841, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.097397, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.036391, "excess_performance": -0.089233, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017601, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013256, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.081841, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000193, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.080974, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004841, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.036391, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.70782, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10143, "relative_activity": 0.559006, "balance": 2.70782, "dry_up": 0.463992, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005432, "annualized_volatility": 0.026217, "from_high_reference": -0.003966, "from_low_reference": 0.065775 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.851967, "fair_value_reference": 29.019973, "structural_low": 30.214408, 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"activity_lines": [ 31.20994, 31.175, 30.956763, 30.775471 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 31.283217, "volume": 5502, "typical_volume": 22882.2, "trend": 30.584051, "fair_value": 28.887956, "relative_strength": -6.740897, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.129458, "energy": 58.073931, "activity_lines": [ 31.238103, 31.200987, 31.007155, 30.823627 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 31.267713, "volume": 11161, "typical_volume": 22421.3, "trend": 30.626758, "fair_value": 28.907954, "relative_strength": -4.305898, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.16745, "energy": 54.300029, "activity_lines": [ 31.250745, 31.21775, 31.051244, 30.867734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 31.144943, "volume": 11625, "typical_volume": 22397.05, "trend": 30.664209, "fair_value": 28.926596, "relative_strength": -6.481335, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.913837, "energy": 49.993103, "activity_lines": [ 31.217427, 31.210018, 31.078997, 30.901166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 31.208553, "volume": 10175, "typical_volume": 21595.95, "trend": 30.702893, "fair_value": 28.945455, "relative_strength": -7.306651, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.697444, "energy": 47.419124, "activity_lines": [ 31.215373, 31.214181, 31.108819, 30.936285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.193644, "volume": 5697, "typical_volume": 20836.4, "trend": 30.739307, "fair_value": 28.963883, "relative_strength": -5.680785, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.802689, "energy": 40.155259, "activity_lines": [ 31.203727, 31.212643, 31.133093, 30.967946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.203583, "volume": 16083, "typical_volume": 20335.8, "trend": 30.774762, "fair_value": 28.982092, "relative_strength": -4.910817, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.104904, "energy": 34.601031, "activity_lines": [ 31.198383, 31.211627, 31.154325, 30.997899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.304365, "volume": 1753, "typical_volume": 18898.7, "trend": 30.812185, "fair_value": 29.00082, "relative_strength": -5.398071, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.762483, "energy": 46.025894, "activity_lines": [ 31.231943, 31.227559, 31.181154, 31.032067 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.395, "volume": 10143, "typical_volume": 18144.7, "trend": 30.851967, "fair_value": 29.019973, "relative_strength": -8.097397, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.335265, "energy": 50.94226, "activity_lines": [ 31.29327, 31.25793, 31.212255, 31.069668 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }