{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7d9ae521-995e-4b8f-b505-f3cbc3a6eeba", "symbol": "FCRR", "name": "Fidelity U.S. Dividend for Rising Rates ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.842, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.547, "architecture_energy": 69.217, "architecture_maturity": 79.224, "architecture_confidence": 66.592, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.71, "rotation_up": 54.76, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.48, "rotation_down": 29.23, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.201952, 56.988051, 56.031195, 54.876253 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 58.169998, "trend_reference": 53.573048, "distance_from_trend": 0.085807, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.828177, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297621, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.922407, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.113954, "excess_performance": -0.006467, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085807, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027745, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.297621, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045392, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019224, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029862, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.113954, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.757576, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1500, "relative_activity": 1.282051, "balance": 2.757576, "dry_up": 0.918803, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015574, "annualized_volatility": 0.101119, "from_high_reference": -0.010378, "from_low_reference": 0.212126 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.573048, "fair_value_reference": 44.828177, "structural_low": 48.730946, 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.795108, "energy": 95.960917, "activity_lines": [ 56.269624, 55.365767, 53.717762, 53.047438 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 56.223946, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1230.0, "trend": 52.606327, "fair_value": 43.927503, "relative_strength": -2.31299, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.2516, "energy": 87.667814, "activity_lines": [ 56.379391, 55.669237, 54.051537, 53.286651 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 56.868832, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1165.0, "trend": 52.727113, "fair_value": 44.080349, "relative_strength": -1.803798, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.991403, "energy": 89.383742, "activity_lines": [ 56.598738, 56.024807, 54.427661, 53.561652 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 57.434345, "volume": 4800, "typical_volume": 1200.0, "trend": 52.879697, "fair_value": 44.234576, "relative_strength": -0.844424, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.900673, "energy": 91.914237, "activity_lines": [ 56.929552, 56.401573, 54.832752, 53.865344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 56.531509, "volume": 2400, "typical_volume": 1260.0, "trend": 53.012333, "fair_value": 44.380644, "relative_strength": -2.132903, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.541618, "energy": 71.122174, "activity_lines": [ 56.841354, 56.526966, 55.127263, 54.100945 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.640644, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 1250.0, "trend": 53.130062, "fair_value": 44.525163, "relative_strength": -2.073872, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.790938, "energy": 65.275997, "activity_lines": [ 56.772927, 56.62063, 55.408836, 54.335029 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56.689999, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 1165.0, "trend": 53.340978, "fair_value": 44.671862, "relative_strength": -1.435031, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.163946, "energy": 61.93045, "activity_lines": [ 56.756308, 56.688402, 55.665377, 54.564703 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.169998, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 1170.0, "trend": 53.573048, "fair_value": 44.828177, "relative_strength": -1.922407, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.546954, "energy": 69.217125, "activity_lines": [ 57.201952, 56.988051, 56.031195, 54.876253 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }