{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7da40f84-380b-4f37-8ed1-0b47c2316673", "symbol": "VTMX", "name": "Corporaci\u00c3\u00b3n Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 64.648, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.779, "architecture_energy": 12.83, "architecture_maturity": 18.229, "architecture_confidence": 57.354, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.93, "rotation_up": 40.08, "upward_expansion": 65.42, "deceleration": 54.85, "rotation_down": 21.8, "downward_expansion": 11.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.220082, 34.141914, 34.293115, 34.181514 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 34.23, "trend_reference": 33.872549, "distance_from_trend": 0.010553, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.994462, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.141211, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.618728, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.070536, "excess_performance": -0.055089, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010553, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035872, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.141211, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055593, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036187, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094873, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.070536, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.653861, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 181129, "relative_activity": 0.3994, "balance": 0.653861, "dry_up": 0.909982, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056925, "annualized_volatility": 0.250433, "from_high_reference": -0.079413, "from_low_reference": 0.360908 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.872549, "fair_value_reference": 29.994462, "structural_low": 31.0801, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.014171, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.048149, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.131951, "worst_return": -0.068379, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.099265, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.116247, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.139405, "worst_return": 0.059124, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.183902, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.157628, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.274859, "worst_return": 0.092944, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"gate": "up", "direction": 29.804617, "energy": 12.944804, "activity_lines": [ 34.219425, 34.124587, 34.294314, 34.151961 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.23, "volume": 181129, "typical_volume": 453502.5, "trend": 33.872549, "fair_value": 29.994462, "relative_strength": -3.618728, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.778833, "energy": 12.829548, "activity_lines": [ 34.220082, 34.141914, 34.293115, 34.181514 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }