{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7db3b1bb-8fe0-48f9-b8a8-cb3fc9e927dc", "symbol": "MDLZ", "name": "Mondelez International, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 91.507, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.95, "architecture_energy": 56.737, "architecture_maturity": 25.858, "architecture_confidence": 80.321, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.6, "rotation_up": 61.74, "upward_expansion": 81.51, "deceleration": 50.5, "rotation_down": 15.92, "downward_expansion": 12.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 1079.379997, 1070.692055, 1065.133719, 1057.275326 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1097.0, "trend_reference": 1046.527709, "distance_from_trend": 0.048228, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1193.598557, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080931, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.849638, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.041814, "excess_performance": 0.096481, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048228, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020732, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080931, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043662, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.008496, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158599, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.041814, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.52, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12, "relative_activity": 0.042903, "balance": 1.52, "dry_up": 1.026099, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026664, "annualized_volatility": 0.251985, "from_high_reference": -0.092853, "from_low_reference": 0.180129 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1046.527709, "fair_value_reference": 1193.598557, "structural_low": 970.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.031563, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.028094, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.055273, "worst_return": -0.07588, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068247, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.075059, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.013215, "worst_return": -0.118157, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.032994, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.024797, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.106977, "worst_return": -0.269828, "sufficient": true 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }