{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7db4222e-2787-4f8d-89a7-dc0b9d4f9a0c",
    "symbol": "CMI",
    "name": "Cummins Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 71.254,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 23.912,
    "architecture_energy": 19.173,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.136,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.434,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.31,
        "rotation_up": 20.9,
        "upward_expansion": 54.11,
        "deceleration": 91.05,
        "rotation_down": 37.77,
        "downward_expansion": 22.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        575.174867,
        557.917537
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 556.400024,
    "trend_reference": 535.411574,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.039201,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 332.208146,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.674854,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.321367,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.166096,
    "excess_performance": -0.008151,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039201,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106514,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.674854,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.240923,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023214,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.266054,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166096,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.411765,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 51,
      "relative_activity": 5.177665,
      "balance": 4.411765,
      "dry_up": 1.725888,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065085,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.308149,
      "from_high_reference": -0.123503,
      "from_low_reference": 0.706636
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 535.411574,
      "fair_value_reference": 332.208146,
      "structural_low": 449.431862,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.017107,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002257,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.144867,
        "worst_return": -0.041647,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.017737,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000431,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.360634,
        "worst_return": -0.292298,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.1551,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.062832,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.155006,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027107,
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        "worst_return": 0.333719,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028776,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "return": -0.210526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.034782,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 9.651762,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 566.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 6.45,
        "trend": 523.74769,
        "fair_value": 325.324476,
        "relative_strength": 5.176091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.40897,
        "energy": 33.47206,
        "activity_lines": [
          586.359998,
          586.940116,
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          550.791011
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 584.799988,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 6.45,
        "trend": 528.695971,
        "fair_value": 327.676815,
        "relative_strength": 6.560046,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.795107,
        "energy": 26.590749,
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          583.039994,
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          575.070499,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 554.200012,
        "volume": 17,
        "typical_volume": 7.3,
        "trend": 532.495213,
        "fair_value": 329.941103,
        "relative_strength": 0.550852,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.777281,
        "energy": 18.069217,
        "activity_lines": [
          572.186666,
          581.280002,
          575.22466,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 556.400024,
        "volume": 51,
        "typical_volume": 9.85,
        "trend": 535.411574,
        "fair_value": 332.208146,
        "relative_strength": -2.321367,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.911736,
        "energy": 19.173445,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}