{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7dc01fcb-1844-4895-862a-b490f650aa18",
    "symbol": "USDV",
    "name": "State Street SPDR S&P US Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF Dis",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.753,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.19,
    "architecture_energy": 47.807,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.112,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.342,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.74,
        "rotation_up": 57.3,
        "upward_expansion": 79.64,
        "deceleration": 68.01,
        "rotation_down": 20.59,
        "downward_expansion": 6.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.062001,
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        62.381428
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 64.360001,
    "trend_reference": 61.833762,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.040855,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.042448,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148415,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.760762,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.040928,
    "excess_performance": -0.010307,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040855,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033271,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148415,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059967,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007608,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018104,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040928,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.849146,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 61231,
      "relative_activity": 0.910173,
      "balance": 1.849146,
      "dry_up": 1.091588,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022581,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.089639,
      "from_high_reference": -0.033634,
      "from_low_reference": 0.161093
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 56.042448,
      "structural_low": 59.049999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.006546,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003846,
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        "worst_return": -0.060405,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.030177,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 55.614054,
        "relative_strength": 0.838736,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 55.708543,
        "relative_strength": 1.324713,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 64.040001,
        "volume": 125500,
        "typical_volume": 74062.95,
        "trend": 61.171684,
        "fair_value": 55.791284,
        "relative_strength": 1.305518,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.880025,
        "energy": 80.02836,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.540001,
        "volume": 37142,
        "typical_volume": 69807.9,
        "trend": 61.429142,
        "fair_value": 55.875872,
        "relative_strength": 0.858565,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.33531,
        "energy": 66.679528,
        "activity_lines": [
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          62.447592,
          62.073498
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 63.490002,
        "volume": 69869,
        "typical_volume": 69171.85,
        "trend": 61.647953,
        "fair_value": 55.954997,
        "relative_strength": -1.889484,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.607038,
        "energy": 47.278337,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.931335,
          63.659515,
          62.613241,
          62.206457
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.360001,
        "volume": 61231,
        "typical_volume": 67274.0,
        "trend": 61.833762,
        "fair_value": 56.042448,
        "relative_strength": -0.760762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.190029,
        "energy": 47.807355,
        "activity_lines": [
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          62.381428
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}