{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7dccf9a5-7612-420e-a834-d1c3282fe704",
    "symbol": "000816",
    "name": "Jiangsu Nonghua Intelligent Agriculture Technology Co.ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -44.248,
    "architecture_energy": 37.824,
    "architecture_maturity": 92.92,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.373,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.25,
        "rotation_up": 27.77,
        "upward_expansion": 18.95,
        "deceleration": 46.98,
        "rotation_down": 32.12,
        "downward_expansion": 64.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.540667,
        2.492,
        2.616238,
        2.821032
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.65,
    "trend_reference": 3.114,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.149004,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.914359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.090709,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.12257,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.342432,
    "excess_performance": -0.349832,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.149004,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107651,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090709,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126137,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211226,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047862,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.342432,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.497346,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 151681104,
      "relative_activity": 1.30701,
      "balance": 0.497346,
      "dry_up": 1.186488,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080116,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.379765,
      "from_high_reference": -0.400452,
      "from_low_reference": 0.172566
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.114,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.914359,
      "structural_low": 2.26,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.027778,
        "positive_rate": 0.44,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.56,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014468,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.34,
        "worst_return": -0.275556,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.035294,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01428,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.617978,
        "worst_return": -0.273469,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.004505,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.095013,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.497207,
        "worst_return": -0.365248,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.049645,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021636,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.690909,
        "worst_return": -0.22314,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.107595,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
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        "return": 0.309091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.207006,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.109589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.081081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.065421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.042254,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.077748,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.062035,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 137456486.75,
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        "relative_strength": -24.866951,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.56,
        "volume": 124783495,
        "typical_volume": 124524771.2,
        "trend": 3.148333,
        "fair_value": 2.918333,
        "relative_strength": -20.343237,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.45686,
        "energy": 47.6798,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.65,
        "volume": 151681104,
        "typical_volume": 116051982.65,
        "trend": 3.114,
        "fair_value": 2.914359,
        "relative_strength": -21.12257,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.247778,
        "energy": 37.824471,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}