{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7dd97355-2aa0-4766-8fcc-5685f8bac4a6", "symbol": "RMTI", "name": "Rockwell Medical Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.663, "architecture_energy": 25.838, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.704, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.77, "rotation_up": 29.17, "upward_expansion": 21.38, "deceleration": 46.86, "rotation_down": 26.78, "downward_expansion": 60.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.814, 6.504836, 6.924848, 7.493996 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.14, "trend_reference": 8.296833, "distance_from_trend": -0.139431, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.786186, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.547706, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.621567, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.326415, "excess_performance": -0.513869, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.139431, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.547706, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000492, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.356216, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027116, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.326415, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.463767, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 98866, "relative_activity": 0.091161, "balance": 0.463767, "dry_up": 0.128124, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118439, "annualized_volatility": 0.556524, "from_high_reference": -0.66, "from_low_reference": 0.461617 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.296833, "fair_value_reference": 15.786186, "structural_low": 4.885, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.083535, "positive_rate": 0.317073, "directional_follow_through": 0.682927, "median_excess_return": -0.098281, "regime_survival": 0.878049, "best_return": 1.010309, "worst_return": -0.292079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.089109, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.285317, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 1.087379, "worst_return": -0.468182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.304614, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.441238, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 3.46087, "worst_return": -0.712369, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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5.940333, 6.253418, 7.142886, 7.772538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.63, "volume": 152789, "typical_volume": 1223425.9, "trend": 8.419433, "fair_value": 16.086635, "relative_strength": -37.906295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.653501, "energy": 54.569632, "activity_lines": [ 6.138, 6.252236, 7.026976, 7.652755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.19, "volume": 141872, "typical_volume": 1159058.7, "trend": 8.371333, "fair_value": 15.931442, "relative_strength": -32.457674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.35116, "energy": 35.988459, "activity_lines": [ 6.507, 6.376345, 6.974076, 7.573437 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.14, "volume": 98866, "typical_volume": 1084520.25, "trend": 8.296833, "fair_value": 15.786186, "relative_strength": -35.621567, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.66341, "energy": 25.837535, "activity_lines": [ 6.814, 6.504836, 6.924848, 7.493996 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }