{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7df7d247-919d-4fed-b6d1-a37a55a85dc0",
    "symbol": "USIM6",
    "name": "Usinas Sider\u00fargicas de Minas Gerais S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.632,
    "architecture_energy": 25.113,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.884,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.14,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.37,
        "rotation_up": 20.8,
        "upward_expansion": 55.25,
        "deceleration": 93.68,
        "rotation_down": 29.52,
        "downward_expansion": 21.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.65,
        8.758364,
        8.615762,
        8.464753
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 8.65,
    "trend_reference": 8.289333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04351,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.207172,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.228173,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.672735,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.08125,
    "excess_performance": 0.138298,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04351,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036858,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.228173,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091609,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016727,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173634,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08125,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": null,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": null,
      "dry_up": 0.833333,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029613,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.302809,
      "from_high_reference": -0.134134,
      "from_low_reference": 0.103316
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.289333,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.207172,
      "structural_low": 7.84,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012518,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.10473,
        "worst_return": -0.235455,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.062818,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085065,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.10473,
        "worst_return": -0.235455,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.080075,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.054295,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.102027,
        "worst_return": -0.272727,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.136093,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.07614,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.236993,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 8.65,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 8.202667,
        "fair_value": 11.396413,
        "relative_strength": -2.93628,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.899968,
        "energy": 58.888195,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.891333,
          8.810364,
          8.502524,
          8.357699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.65,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 8.224333,
        "fair_value": 11.349103,
        "relative_strength": -0.22634,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.490609,
        "energy": 31.734223,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.726,
          8.815091,
          8.535476,
          8.386559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.65,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 8.246,
        "fair_value": 11.301792,
        "relative_strength": -0.020893,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.101366,
        "energy": 32.272685,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.65,
          8.808,
          8.565333,
          8.414022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.65,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 8.267667,
        "fair_value": 11.254482,
        "relative_strength": -1.794792,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.627556,
        "energy": 29.786059,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.65,
          8.789091,
          8.592095,
          8.440086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.65,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 8.289333,
        "fair_value": 11.207172,
        "relative_strength": 1.672735,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.632288,
        "energy": 25.113396,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.65,
          8.758364,
          8.615762,
          8.464753
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}