{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7e13db23-88e7-4b90-acde-1d2ba3cb7423",
    "symbol": "LQDB",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST BBB RATED CORPORATE BD ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 72.916,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.187,
    "architecture_energy": 69.824,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.639,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.872,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.97,
        "rotation_up": 8.75,
        "upward_expansion": 15.62,
        "deceleration": 37.08,
        "rotation_down": 74.53,
        "downward_expansion": 91.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        84.734125,
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        85.366245,
        85.458274
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 84.93,
    "trend_reference": 85.613545,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.007984,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 80.635249,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053261,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.456077,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.014722,
    "excess_performance": -0.140347,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007984,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000174,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053261,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025968,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114561,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016938,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014722,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.399108,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7000,
      "relative_activity": 0.330361,
      "balance": 2.399108,
      "dry_up": 0.504083,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007961,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.047539,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021651,
      "from_low_reference": 0.019124
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 85.613545,
      "fair_value_reference": 80.635249,
      "structural_low": 84.326981,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.023738,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014869,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.048635,
        "worst_return": -0.013669,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.002066,
        "sufficient": false
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "close": 86.116645,
        "volume": 44804,
        "typical_volume": 23582.6,
        "trend": 85.576759,
        "fair_value": 79.459473,
        "relative_strength": -7.292739,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 31.677808,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 23777.35,
        "trend": 85.58553,
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        "relative_strength": -8.470616,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 24.922609,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.858961,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 85.922852,
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        "typical_volume": 22857.65,
        "trend": 85.611242,
        "fair_value": 79.614978,
        "relative_strength": -9.762272,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "energy": 25.576383,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 7716,
        "typical_volume": 23012.05,
        "trend": 85.590658,
        "fair_value": 79.695128,
        "relative_strength": -10.573002,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -4.90833,
        "energy": 3.21568,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.595425,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 85.275041,
        "volume": 11593,
        "typical_volume": 23144.05,
        "trend": 85.567667,
        "fair_value": 79.777213,
        "relative_strength": -10.75723,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.179133,
        "energy": 14.989851,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 85.954701,
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        "typical_volume": 23218.0,
        "trend": 85.598678,
        "fair_value": 79.859473,
        "relative_strength": -10.989312,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 33198,
        "typical_volume": 24663.4,
        "trend": 85.614882,
        "fair_value": 79.940657,
        "relative_strength": -8.922235,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 85.990957,
        "volume": 36788,
        "typical_volume": 26152.0,
        "trend": 85.65564,
        "fair_value": 80.021627,
        "relative_strength": -8.583072,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -9.0102,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 16.55445,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 8824,
        "typical_volume": 24885.1,
        "trend": 85.710088,
        "fair_value": 80.184398,
        "relative_strength": -6.274484,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.208466,
        "energy": 40.556595,
        "activity_lines": [
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          85.745547
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 85.696249,
        "volume": 6788,
        "typical_volume": 24267.0,
        "trend": 85.720499,
        "fair_value": 80.26857,
        "relative_strength": -8.668235,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 32.380924,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 15730,
        "typical_volume": 24077.1,
        "trend": 85.719667,
        "fair_value": 80.342259,
        "relative_strength": -10.259193,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.003646,
        "energy": 17.475368,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.687272,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 85.192159,
        "volume": 12969,
        "typical_volume": 24388.5,
        "trend": 85.715719,
        "fair_value": 80.414831,
        "relative_strength": -8.483544,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.614136,
        "energy": 29.630591,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.473663,
          85.622798,
          85.625386,
          85.669603
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 84.40137,
        "volume": 14860,
        "typical_volume": 21275.85,
        "trend": 85.673484,
        "fair_value": 80.483528,
        "relative_strength": -8.557632,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.713053,
        "energy": 60.382602,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.049711,
          85.402946,
          85.515851,
          85.584806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 84.422183,
        "volume": 7895,
        "typical_volume": 21011.65,
        "trend": 85.639947,
        "fair_value": 80.556291,
        "relative_strength": -9.209977,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.113819,
        "energy": 73.689109,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.743903,
          85.198523,
          85.416222,
          85.504077
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.93,
        "volume": 7000,
        "typical_volume": 21188.95,
        "trend": 85.613545,
        "fair_value": 80.635249,
        "relative_strength": -11.456077,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.187132,
        "energy": 69.823862,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.734125,
          85.101938,
          85.366245,
          85.458274
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}