{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7e35f747-e345-4144-9117-3667129a3539",
    "symbol": "KUO",
    "name": "International Cement Group Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.754,
    "architecture_energy": 65.838,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.569,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.27,
        "rotation_up": 70.21,
        "upward_expansion": 82.88,
        "deceleration": 49.23,
        "rotation_down": 14.79,
        "downward_expansion": 16.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.071133,
        0.066855,
        0.066062,
        0.064972
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.084,
    "trend_reference": 0.062733,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.339001,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.030064,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.79403,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 32.923753,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.584906,
    "excess_performance": 0.430071,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.339001,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139225,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.79403,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056521,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.329238,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.268177,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.584906,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.493815,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 327811200,
      "relative_activity": 2.812588,
      "balance": 3.493815,
      "dry_up": 1.06456,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.093407,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.795721,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023256,
      "from_low_reference": 3.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.062733,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.030064,
      "structural_low": 0.048,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.115722,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.075789,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.254902,
        "worst_return": 0.016667,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.535346,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.453283,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.815789,
        "worst_return": 0.254902,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.921053,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.807457,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.921053,
        "worst_return": 0.921053,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.052632,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.052632,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.157895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.111111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.111111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.809524,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.236842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.181818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.313725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.078125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.4,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 5379640.0,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "relative_strength": 4.0844,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 115690665.0,
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        "relative_strength": 11.287355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.063133,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.066,
        "volume": 72202800,
        "typical_volume": 108026480.0,
        "trend": 0.0615,
        "fair_value": 0.029654,
        "relative_strength": 7.563381,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.793689,
        "energy": 16.627518,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.064333,
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          0.0641,
          0.06352
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.084,
        "volume": 327811200,
        "typical_volume": 116551455.0,
        "trend": 0.062733,
        "fair_value": 0.030064,
        "relative_strength": 32.923753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.753592,
        "energy": 65.838234,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.071133,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}