{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e3da2ff-e7c6-4cab-a098-44619366daa7", "symbol": "8049", "name": "Ampire Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -7.849, "architecture_energy": 10.295, "architecture_maturity": 14.804, "architecture_confidence": 42.725, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.15, "rotation_up": 17.62, "upward_expansion": 17.57, "deceleration": 68.01, "rotation_down": 46.87, "downward_expansion": 33.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.203333, 26.422727, 26.467857, 26.314731 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 26.450001, "trend_reference": 26.248333, "distance_from_trend": 0.007683, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.923804, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.116088, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.719241, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.005639, "excess_performance": -0.447011, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007683, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016786, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.116088, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031872, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.277192, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067496, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.005639, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.509564, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1298619, "relative_activity": 1.04621, "balance": 2.509564, "dry_up": 0.649194, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050749, "annualized_volatility": 0.152492, "from_high_reference": -0.101868, "from_low_reference": 0.079592 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.248333, "fair_value_reference": 29.923804, "structural_low": 24.700001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.00684, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.009323, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.121854, "worst_return": -0.117385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.029354, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.021625, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.157303, "worst_return": -0.138187, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.097127, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.138474, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.164906, "worst_return": -0.162127, 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27.196667, 27.063636, 26.501429, 26.352258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.799999, "volume": 878123, "typical_volume": 1195094.65, "trend": 26.175, "fair_value": 30.063997, "relative_strength": -28.170337, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.459923, "energy": 15.743596, "activity_lines": [ 26.736666, 26.883636, 26.465476, 26.329892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.0, "volume": 533351, "typical_volume": 1181310.1, "trend": 26.205, "fair_value": 30.031772, "relative_strength": -28.300566, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.473406, "energy": 16.047466, "activity_lines": [ 26.376666, 26.73, 26.453333, 26.318602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.799999, "volume": 898606, "typical_volume": 1200631.05, "trend": 26.231667, "fair_value": 29.996718, "relative_strength": -27.009436, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.914544, "energy": 14.543591, "activity_lines": [ 26.063333, 26.536363, 26.420714, 26.292473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.4, "volume": 492702, "typical_volume": 1199110.25, "trend": 26.273333, "fair_value": 29.964223, "relative_strength": -26.215292, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.693011, "energy": 12.024583, "activity_lines": [ 26.096666, 26.47, 26.444047, 26.303333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 26.450001, "volume": 1298619, "typical_volume": 1241260.85, "trend": 26.248333, "fair_value": 29.923804, "relative_strength": -27.719241, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.84906, "energy": 10.294682, "activity_lines": [ 26.203333, 26.422727, 26.467857, 26.314731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }