{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e404f25-d9c6-4c3a-851f-322aac015bbc", "symbol": "BTMD", "name": "biote Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.725, "architecture_energy": 13.432, "architecture_maturity": 47.667, "architecture_confidence": 76.529, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 67.83, "rotation_up": 26.6, "upward_expansion": 29.23, "deceleration": 55.99, "rotation_down": 42.22, "downward_expansion": 24.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.028667, 2.115091, 2.123095, 2.064452 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.48, "trend_reference": 2.0375, "distance_from_trend": -0.27362, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.277885, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.654035, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -46.303712, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.336323, "excess_performance": -0.523777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.27362, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068926, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.654035, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125507, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.463037, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094384, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.336323, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.825985, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1331329, "relative_activity": 0.990989, "balance": 0.825985, "dry_up": 0.831592, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.282646, "annualized_volatility": 1.092802, "from_high_reference": -0.59116, "from_low_reference": 0.165354 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.0375, "fair_value_reference": 4.277885, "structural_low": 1.27, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.025263, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.02007, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.135678, "worst_return": -0.25463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.085224, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.157519, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.349474, "worst_return": -0.337481, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.361905, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.413966, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.508235, "worst_return": -0.404355, 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0.075993, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02901, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.288499, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009331, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018033, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.264516, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.135371, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.304762, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.388199, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.256281, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.73, "volume": 1290932, "typical_volume": 668516.85, "trend": 5.7235, "fair_value": 7.171854, "relative_strength": -17.784353, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": 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"direction": 33.007148, "energy": 18.259394, "activity_lines": [ 2.254667, 2.224182, 2.128833, 2.079968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.28, "volume": 729563, "typical_volume": 1400358.95, "trend": 2.0815, "fair_value": 4.333269, "relative_strength": -15.471693, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.723019, "energy": 41.076901, "activity_lines": [ 2.282667, 2.243455, 2.155905, 2.091914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.25, "volume": 1148225, "typical_volume": 1362947.3, "trend": 2.074167, "fair_value": 4.304359, "relative_strength": -15.481837, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.319396, "energy": 42.105416, "activity_lines": [ 2.299333, 2.251636, 2.17819, 2.102785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.48, "volume": 1331329, "typical_volume": 1343434.05, "trend": 2.0375, "fair_value": 4.277885, "relative_strength": -46.303712, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.724527, "energy": 13.431883, "activity_lines": [ 2.028667, 2.115091, 2.123095, 2.064452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }