{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e5cc975-5866-4d0e-affe-dfefabedefa1", "symbol": "HYFA", "name": "Invesco US High Yield Fallen Angels UCITS ETF", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 85.491, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.313, "architecture_energy": 60.697, "architecture_maturity": 49.781, "architecture_confidence": 63.616, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.58, "rotation_up": 56.56, "upward_expansion": 84.67, "deceleration": 68.56, "rotation_down": 24.98, "downward_expansion": 11.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.688667, 18.673313, 18.478526, 18.393206 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.672001, "trend_reference": 18.314275, "distance_from_trend": 0.019533, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.757074, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051525, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.502034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.021567, "excess_performance": -0.031744, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019533, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005096, "read": "Rising" 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60.42328, "activity_lines": [ 18.394628, 18.243847, 18.18574, 18.197095 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 18.423, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5682.15, "trend": 18.230252, "fair_value": 17.648499, "relative_strength": -2.361078, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.964739, "energy": 65.789066, "activity_lines": [ 18.435357, 18.295846, 18.207175, 18.209399 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 18.799, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 5687.15, "trend": 18.241289, "fair_value": 17.666848, "relative_strength": -1.758964, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.739682, "energy": 96.021285, "activity_lines": [ 18.575815, 18.407097, 18.263729, 18.246092 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 18.799, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5681.4, "trend": 18.244402, "fair_value": 17.686678, "relative_strength": 0.221148, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.501198, "energy": 95.766563, "activity_lines": [ 18.6656, 18.502399, 18.317801, 18.282074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.799, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1109.55, "trend": 18.264267, "fair_value": 17.705489, "relative_strength": 0.221893, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.923994, "energy": 93.710605, "activity_lines": [ 18.7238, 18.581753, 18.370046, 18.317854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.799, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1109.55, "trend": 18.285181, "fair_value": 17.723393, "relative_strength": -0.175181, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.737762, "energy": 90.59184, "activity_lines": [ 18.773933, 18.647699, 18.419866, 18.352353 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.544001, "volume": 16266, "typical_volume": 1922.85, "trend": 18.297595, "fair_value": 17.740012, "relative_strength": -2.989013, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.116664, "energy": 77.366365, "activity_lines": [ 18.714, 18.653461, 18.442974, 18.369051 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.672001, "volume": 8816, "typical_volume": 2357.4, "trend": 18.314275, "fair_value": 17.757074, "relative_strength": -4.502034, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.313368, "energy": 60.697139, "activity_lines": [ 18.688667, 18.673313, 18.478526, 18.393206 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }