{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e5dc115-1dbb-4562-81c1-3578659c0e23", "symbol": "INTU34", "name": "Intuit Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.514, "architecture_energy": 24.91, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.635, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.45, "rotation_up": 27.82, "upward_expansion": 21.04, "deceleration": 46.94, "rotation_down": 25.18, "downward_expansion": 57.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.076001, 34.794154, 36.692455, 39.760514 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 37.700001, "trend_reference": 44.57792, "distance_from_trend": -0.15429, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 70.877695, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.468098, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.566647, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.285869, "excess_performance": -0.22882, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.15429, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257262, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.468098, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100065, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.415666, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084205, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.285869, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.135244, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7526, "relative_activity": 0.444483, "balance": 1.135244, "dry_up": 1.381684, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118924, "annualized_volatility": 0.648527, "from_high_reference": -0.588715, "from_low_reference": 0.260269 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.57792, "fair_value_reference": 70.877695, "structural_low": 29.914252, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.033114, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.018527, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.226786, "worst_return": -0.336198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.176558, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.141448, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.212725, "worst_return": -0.272024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.024225, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.059074, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.042726, "worst_return": -0.415931, 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"trend": 47.31316, "fair_value": 71.103557, "relative_strength": -49.596874, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.956191, "energy": 47.101062, "activity_lines": [ 33.945511, 33.769434, 37.370785, 40.987526 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.540001, "volume": 15827, "typical_volume": 17605.55, "trend": 45.945522, "fair_value": 70.987509, "relative_strength": -46.380428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.673972, "energy": 37.315977, "activity_lines": [ 34.932299, 34.172158, 36.938139, 40.292484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.700001, "volume": 7526, "typical_volume": 16932.05, "trend": 44.57792, "fair_value": 70.877695, "relative_strength": -41.566647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.513927, "energy": 24.910172, "activity_lines": [ 36.076001, 34.794154, 36.692455, 39.760514 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }