{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e6af917-a7b7-4ff6-a915-cb48c62dccd2", "symbol": "XEOU", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Europe UCITS ETF 2C - USD Hedged", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.521, "architecture_energy": 80.591, "architecture_maturity": 42.303, "architecture_confidence": 86.189, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 66.2, "upward_expansion": 89.97, "deceleration": 49.85, "rotation_down": 22.1, "downward_expansion": 16.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.608, 23.439227, 23.008417, 22.634989 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.01, "trend_reference": 22.232333, "distance_from_trend": 0.079959, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.367849, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307175, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.962152, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104289, "excess_performance": 0.053054, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079959, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04191, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.307175, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065727, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039622, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020696, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104289, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.831269, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59607, "relative_activity": 0.298876, "balance": 0.831269, "dry_up": 0.299427, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01707, "annualized_volatility": 0.143483, "from_high_reference": -0.001584, "from_low_reference": 0.258518 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.232333, "fair_value_reference": 18.367849, "structural_low": 19.91, "invalidation": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 23.227501, "volume": 59007, "typical_volume": 234450.7, "trend": 21.898917, "fair_value": 18.145067, "relative_strength": 4.78311, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.963256, "energy": 84.630936, "activity_lines": [ 23.266334, 22.997273, 22.51, 22.243038 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.192499, "volume": 52342, "typical_volume": 233520.1, "trend": 21.977833, "fair_value": 18.198217, "relative_strength": 3.54221, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.260903, "energy": 80.724664, "activity_lines": [ 23.268, 23.080227, 22.611905, 22.326495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.3925, "volume": 93199, "typical_volume": 223794.1, "trend": 22.06425, "fair_value": 18.251797, "relative_strength": 3.046193, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.461388, "energy": 76.897758, "activity_lines": [ 23.316667, 23.176864, 22.729202, 22.417763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.57, "volume": 33719, "typical_volume": 206823.85, "trend": 22.14875, "fair_value": 18.308515, "relative_strength": 2.460682, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.477101, "energy": 63.984169, "activity_lines": [ 23.405167, 23.277409, 22.853702, 22.514909 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.01, "volume": 59607, "typical_volume": 199436.9, "trend": 22.232333, "fair_value": 18.367849, "relative_strength": 3.962152, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.520546, "energy": 80.590663, "activity_lines": [ 23.608, 23.439227, 23.008417, 22.634989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }