{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e7044cd-e0a8-4123-9bb8-cfdc502524cf", "symbol": "LAND3", "name": "Terra Santa Propriedades Agr\u00edcolas S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 44.044, "architecture_energy": 41.817, "architecture_maturity": 34.052, "architecture_confidence": 71.074, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.03, "rotation_up": 59.51, "upward_expansion": 51.4, "deceleration": 31.0, "rotation_down": 22.94, "downward_expansion": 19.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.858667, 8.564545, 8.494333, 8.510817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.58, "trend_reference": 8.510667, "distance_from_trend": 0.125646, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.701014, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.245729, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.757659, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.208071, "excess_performance": 0.265119, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.125646, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002001, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.245729, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141556, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.067577, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.28622, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.208071, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.472132, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 477200, "relative_activity": 1.256782, "balance": 4.472132, "dry_up": 2.329734, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063915, "annualized_volatility": 0.387972, "from_high_reference": -0.097928, "from_low_reference": 0.358865 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.510667, "fair_value_reference": 12.701014, "structural_low": 7.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.014541, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.035156, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.127364, "worst_return": -0.181034, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.031782, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.166464, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.041371, "worst_return": -0.140845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.162548, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.194337, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.008274, "worst_return": -0.277736, "sufficient": false }, { 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.119195, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.09632, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.001359, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.157966, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-13", 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278000, "typical_volume": 378260.0, "trend": 8.473333, "fair_value": 12.799654, "relative_strength": -2.361099, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.71087, "energy": 6.012779, "activity_lines": [ 8.435333, 8.331818, 8.387667, 8.439419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.58, "volume": 477200, "typical_volume": 379700.0, "trend": 8.510667, "fair_value": 12.701014, "relative_strength": 6.757659, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.04381, "energy": 41.817042, "activity_lines": [ 8.858667, 8.564545, 8.494333, 8.510817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }